Tue Jul 14 2009 11:48 AM
Re: Keep it Slow!

At best a blob watch which will probably get looked at because nothing else has happened in a while. The system closer to Africa has a slightly better shot, but these are a huge long way from becoming a tropical cyclone and conditions out ahead just aren't there yet.

If you take the GFS for example, just as the storm may get into a position to actually develop it will run into that shear wall.

If it persists beyond a day, then it becomes worth watching. It probably won't since there are still too many things against it right now. One thing it does have, is plenty of moisture (the eastern system anyway)

At least blob watchers have a few things to look at this week.

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