Mon Aug 24 2009 08:26 AM
Bill Out, Watching Wave in Atlantic

5:00 AM EDT update
The wave northeast of the Caribbean is still very disorganized this morning, and being affected by shear. Models still have not handled the system well, and it appears that it will take some time to organize, if it does at all. It has a 30-50% chance to develop within the next 48 hours.

The current positioning makes it more likely that anything that may happen will stay out to sea.

7:20 PM EDT update
Another area in the west Caribbean, nearing land, has been tagged as invest 93L. It has <30% chance of development before landfall.

10:10AM EDT update
The wave east of the Caribbean is now being tracked as Invest 92L.

Currently it appears to be slowing down, over the next two days or so it will likely remain weak, after that it could get interesting. About a 50/50 shot it could affect land at this point.

There is a 30-50% chance that 92L will develop into a storm in 48 hours.

More to come soon...

Original Update
Hurricane Bill's last advisory was issued this morning after edging along the Canadian Maratimes. One story reports that a young girl was killed by a large wave in Maine when a group was wave watching Bill's surf at Acadia National Park.

What is worth watching now is a wave about 300-350 miles east of the Leeward Islands in the Caribbean, right now it has a low chance of development, but it could affect the us in some form later in the week.. It could approach Florida with some rain, or slow down and eventually turn north (which could give it time to develop). in that case the east coast will want to watch in case it doesn't turn north and away quickly enough.

The wave has not, as of yet, been tagged with an investigation number.

Outside of that, there isn't much going on right now.

We'll be watching the wave for signs of development.



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