Fri Aug 28 2009 06:53 AM
Danny Weaker, Likely to Stay East of Land

3PM Update 28 August 2009
Danny's low level circulation remains west of the convection, some low level showers are approaching the coastline of the Carolinas, but Danny is about to run up against a wall. A trough coming soon should move or obliterate anything left of Danny if it were not to move.

Original Update
Tropical Storm Danny is barely a Tropical Storm this morning, recon was only able to find borderline winds to support a Tropical Storm. It has some chances to strengthen a bit, but most likely it will remain a tropical storm.

It looks like North Carolina will be left with a Tropical Storm Watch, and it will not be upgraded to a warning based on the current forecast track. This track keeps it offshore until the Canadian Maratimes. Since most of the convection is to the east, it's fairly likely that coastal areas will not see much more than increased waves.

In the east Atlantic 94L is gradually getting better, it may become a depression late today or tomorrow if it continues to get better organized. The overall pattern and models place the odds that it too will stay out to sea, but it is still too early to be at all confident in that. If the storm stays weak, it is more likely to head further west.

Southeastern US Radar Mosaic


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