(Senior Storm Chaser)
Tue Sep 01 2009 05:34 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Erika Forms East of the northern Leeward Islands


well the nhc pulled the trigger like we all figured as of 5pm update. seems like the model runs are agreeing on a more nw track. ill be curious to see if there are any westward tracks. i dont buy the nw movement yet.

Me either. The system is so weak and sheared, that should keep it on a western track. Of course, models forecast it to become a hurricane. The official forecast has it weakening despite the model forecasts, yet moving more NW in agreement with them... which seems odd to me.

Well, over the last few hours it seems Erika has gotten much better organized, to be at least. There is a big blowup of convection where I thought the LLC was.

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