scottsvb
(Weather Master)
Wed Sep 02 2009 11:27 PM
Re: she is coming back....

To me it looks like the LLC will be getting better organized over the next 12 hrs... midlevel rainshield approaching the LLC which appears to be just east of the NHC plot @ 11pm... 16.2N and 62.2W and drifting NW.... A large area of low-midlevel rainshield should penetrate the LLC between 1am-4am eastern... We will have to see if the pressure falls when recon checks this out later.. not sure it will much by 2am..but maybe by 5am.. Its really up in the air on this.
NHC west movement is really skepitcal to say the least... Erika hasnt moved much in the past 4 hrs..if anything a slight NNW drift of 2mph. Next 6hrs will be interesting to see if this gets its act together some and to see if the pressure drops 3-4mbs... guess time will tell!



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