Tue Sep 15 2009 06:02 PM
Conditions Not Good for Development

Conditions are not good for development, these are good words to hear in mid September, and this year we have seen the overall poor conditions for development across the Atlantic basin persist. There are three areas worth watching, one is a wave just west of Africa that has a low chance for development, if it does, it is likely to weaken well before land and possibly go out to sea.

Another wave is actually the remnants of Hurricane Fred, still moving westward, it could redevelop, it has a low chance of redevelopment as well. It likely will enter an area more favorable for development in a few days. But again, this will likely not affect land with any real threat. It could get close if it stays weak, but its more likely to be picked up and dragged out to sea by a front if that happens. Time will tell on that.

Another area east of the Bahamas is a stalled out front, this has a low chance to develop as well, but even this is not likely to affect the United States.

None of the above are being tracked as invest areas at this time.

Hopefully the rest of the season remains quiet.


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