Storm Hunter
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Sun Nov 08 2009 03:00 AM
Re: Ida Near Hurricane Strength Again Moving Northward

guess my math was off!

**note** Lightning in the EYEWALL


Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 8th day of the month at 07:49Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number & Year: 11L in 2009
Storm Name: Ida (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 3
Observation Number: 14
A. Time of Center Fix: 8th day of the month at 7:27:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 20°18'N 85°27'W (20.3N 85.45W)
B. Center Fix Location: 107 miles (172 km) between the ESE and SE (123°) from Cancún, Quintana Roo, México.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,969m (9,741ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 68kts (~ 78.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 8 nautical miles (9 statute miles) to the NNE (23°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 125° at 75kts (From the SE at ~ 86.3mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles) to the NE (36°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 984mb (29.06 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 6°C (43°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,038m (9,967ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,040m (9,974ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 11°C (52°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open from the south to the southwest
M. Eye Shape: Elliptical (oval shaped)
M. Orientation of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 290° to 110° (WNW to ESE)
M. Length of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 25 nautical miles (29 statute miles)
M. Length of Minor Axis in Elliptical Eye: 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 96kts (~ 110.5mph) in the north quadrant at 5:46:00Z
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
FQT LTG IN EYEWALL


Have to say good Job to the NHC for being on top of things... u can tell there watching the AF recon data and the buoy data... They have issued a few special adv. this morning before the main adv. pkg comes out... they adjusted the short-term path in a 115am adv...

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO ADJUST THE SHORT-TERM
INTENSITY AND TRACK FORECAST OF IDA. BASED ON THE OBSERVED
INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM IN THE LAST FEW HOURS...THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS RAISED TO 85 KT AT 12 AND 24 HOURS...WITH THE
POSSIBILITY THAT IDA COULD GET A LITTLE STRONGER THAN THAT SOMETIME
TODAY. BEYOND 36 HOURS...THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS UNCHANGED FROM
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.



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