Wed Aug 31 2016 02:09 PM
Hermine and Storm Surge

2:00PM EDT Update 3 September 2016

The combination of a storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate
coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous

There is a danger of life-threatening inundation during the
next few hours in the Hampton Roads area, and in the next 36 hours
from Chincoteague, Virginia, to Sandy Hook, New Jersey. Persons
within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life
and property from rising water.

Promptly follow all instructions,
including evacuation orders, from local officials. There is also
the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48
hours at many coastal locations between Sandy Hook, New Jersey, and
Bridgeport, Connecticut.

11:30AM EDT Update 2 September 2016
Hermine is moving rapidly northeast just inside the coast of Georgia, expected to slow down offshore of Carolina and become a hurricane and only go through a partial extratropical transition. It likely will sit offshore of Delware/New Jersey for a bit, bringing lots of surge to parts of the area. Tropical Storm watches have been extended all the way to Rhode Island. Hermine is going to affect nearly the entire east coast's labor day weekend.

1:30AM EDT Update 2 September 2016
Hermine has made landfall just east of St. Marks, breaking the nearly 11 year span of no landfalling hurricanes in Florida.

3:00PM Update 1 September 2016
Hermine has now reached hurricane status based on recon reports.

Let us know conditions in your area here http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/showflat.php?Number=96502&gonew=1#UNREAD

2:30PM Update 1 September 2016
Tropical Storm Warnings have been extended southward to Englewood (S. of Tampa) on the west coast of Florida, and south to the Volusia/Flagler Line on the east coast due to the large tropical storm force windfield to the south and east of Hermine.

7AM Update 1 September 2016
Tropical Storm Hermine is nearing hurricane strength this morning based on recent recon reports of 994mb and 70 knot winds just east of the center at flight level.

The landfall is forecast for near Apalachee bay around 1AM this morning, this is a slight shift east from last night. Considering most of the heavy convection and wind is on the east side of the system.

Hurricane Warnings are up for the Panhandle, but it also important to note the Tropical Storm warnings on the east coast Marineland to South Santee River and the watches north of that to Surf City, NC. Hermine could be affecting a lot of the southeast and mid-Atlantic coastlines with rain, wind, and some surge.

11PM Update 31 August 2016
Hermine has strengthened a bit faster than anticipated and now has 60mph winds, and is now forecast to be a hurricane at landfall. If it does so it will be the first hurricane to make landfall in Florida in nearly 11 years. Landfall is forecast to be near Alligator Point in the Panhandle pre dawn Friday morning, with most of the rain and wind to the east and south.

Hurricane Warnings are now up
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Suwannee River to Mexico Beach
Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Anclote River to Destin

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anclote River to Destin

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Marineland Florida to Altamaha Sound Georgia

Florida Emergency management: http://www.floridadisaster.org/index.asp

Let us know what you are seeing from Hermine in your area in this thread.

Original Update
Tropical Depression 9, which went on for days as 99L before then has now become Tropical Storm Hermine.
Hurricane Watches are in effect for...Anclote River to Indian Pass as it is still possible for Hermine to briefly become a hurricane before landfall
Tropical Storm Warnings Anclote River to the Walton/Bay County line
Tropical Storm Watches along the east coast: Marineland Florida to Altamaha Sound Georgia

Some of the top threats include heavy rain, storm surge near and east of where the storm makes landfall, and short lived tornadoes. Hermine is a VERY large storm, but not strong, and is partly why it has been so slow to get organized. Points beyond landfall in the Southeast and Mid Atlantic warrant attention also.

More to come soon..

Mark Sudduth over at hurricanetrack.com is on the way to Florida to investigate the landfall, follow along at


Miami Long Range Radar Recording for 99L
Florida Radar Recording for 99L









Hawaii Storm Info


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