Doombot!
(Weather Guru)
Wed Sep 14 2016 03:03 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Julia Forms Near St Augustine, Florida

While it's not unheard of to see an inland forming TD, and rarely a TS, the NHC really tried to dig their heels in on this one.

There was a closed circulation that came onshore around WPB yesterday (the 11th) with convection that was 40+ MPH. I think the NHC didn't want to alarm schools / businesses as it moved onshore then paralleled the coast ~ 30 miles inland.

IMO, the NHC should be able to issue a "technical advisory" - one that says "this meteorological feature meets the technical definition of a named storm, but poses no more danger than typically forming seasonal thunderstorms. No additional and/or emergency action needed."

If they had that freedom, we would have a better scientific record in the future, but no schools / businesses would need to close in the present.


That said, I'll bet you a wooden nickel that this storm will be "post-season adjusted" to have it as a TS before landfall near WPB in the off season and have never had been classified had it not come onshore in the US.



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