doug
(Weather Analyst)
Thu Apr 08 2021 06:13 PM
2021 forecast

First early forecast from Col. State: 17-9-4
another busy year...


MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Mon May 03 2021 09:29 PM
Re: 2021 forecast

16-7-2

B.C.Francis
(Storm Tracker)
Tue May 11 2021 11:56 AM
Re: 2021 forecast

19-8-4

Kraig
(Weather Hobbyist)
Sun May 16 2021 07:51 PM
Re: 2021 forecast

18-10-5

MichaelA
(Weather Analyst)
Thu May 20 2021 03:27 PM
Re: 2021 forecast

15 - 8 - 3 (same as last year )

JoshuaK
(Weather Guru)
Thu May 20 2021 08:28 PM
Re: 2021 forecast

18-12-6

EMS
(Weather Hobbyist)
Fri May 21 2021 12:29 AM
Re: 2021 forecast

20-11-6

vpbob21
(Weather Guru)
Fri May 21 2021 03:18 PM
Re: 2021 forecast

23-11-5

jtrnr1951
(Registered User)
Sat May 22 2021 09:13 AM
Re: 2021 forecast

20-10-5

gsand
(Weather Watcher)
Sat May 22 2021 04:14 PM
Re: 2021 forecast

15-6-3

cieldumort
(Moderator)
Mon May 31 2021 11:02 PM
Re: 2021 forecast

Still using my old formula with some tweaks and allowances for other considerations.

Names: 15 (Likely range 13-17)
Hurricanes: 8 (Likely range 7-9)
Majors: 4 (Likely range 3-5)


Forecast bias/risk: Forecast Risk is to the upside (More names may easily occur than my system is calling for, but not necessarily more hurricanes).
Above average potential for a late-ending season.

Landfall considerations:
*Trend of slower and/or wetter systems more likely to be seen this year than not.
*Above average risk of US landfalls with potential for much above average US landfalls


Final season forecast for 2021 Flhurricane Contest:
Names: 15, Hurricanes: 8, Majors: 4


Prospero
(Storm Tracker)
Tue Jun 15 2021 04:13 PM
Re: 2021 forecast

I know I am late and posted this on another forum a while back. I'm already thinking I was underestimating the early part of the season for named storms, but I'll stick with it just for fun. Not like I'll lose any money on a bet. LOL

Quote:

14/11/7

Probably way low on named storms, but seven majors. Teresa might be one to be historic...




IsoFlame
(Weather Guru)
Mon Jun 28 2021 08:57 AM
Re: 2021 forecast

Late to the party... 17-8-2


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