MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4545
Loc: Orlando, FL
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June 1st this will lock down.
Mine is high (for me) 21-9-4
Although others and CSU's prediction are coming on April 4th.
Site updates for 2024 will be showing up over April. I've been trying to move the site to a different server but that's not been going well so far.
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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 331
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
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I'm going with 22-10-7. It wouldn't surprise me if 1or 2 of the hurricanes go super major with Cat 5 or higher ??? like Dorian or Typhoon Tip to mention a couple of monsters. Cat 6 cyclone is not out of the realm in both basins Pacific and Atlantic. Good luck to all.
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
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Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
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This season could be crazy! I am going with 22 11 6
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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .
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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master
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Posts: 428
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA
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I am going with 24-14-7. Watch out Florida! I see that the Bermuda High will be parked somewhat further west than last year and with the onset of La Nina and warm SST I see there is no way for Florida or the GOM to be out of harm's way. Good luck to us all. be prepared.
-------------------- ________2023 Forecast: 20/10/5________
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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Bloodstar
Moderator
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Posts: 463
Loc: Tucson, AZ
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I think it's going to be an active season, but not quite active enough to require going into the new list (I'm sad, I really liked the alpha, beta, gamma, list... it let you know we were having a very unusual seasons). I think the Multi-Decadal Oscillation is starting to decline in the Atlantic, but it's hard to be sure with the overall SST temperatures rising. We're also moving from an El Nino, to a La Nina pattern.
18 Named Storms, 8 Hurricanes, 5 Major Hurricanes.
-------------------- M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
Brookhaven National Laboratory
U. Arizona PhD Student
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EMS
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 56
Loc: St. Petersburg, Florida
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20/10/5 and hoping other factors (e.g. Saharan dust) counteract La Niña!
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 296
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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23-10-4
Looks like I'm staying close to your Mike, but I came up with 22-10-4 before logging in to the forum. Added one more 'cane to space my total out a bit more from yours.
-------------------- CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
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bob3d
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 41
Loc: Pasco County, Florida
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Quote:
20/10/5 and hoping other factors (e.g. Saharan dust) counteract La Niña!
I am hoping for Saharan dust effect also, but I have a feeling it is not going to be our savior this season, unfortunately.
22-11-5 prediction
Edited by bob3d (Fri May 24 2024 01:12 PM)
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GlenJohnson
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 62
Loc: Waldo Florida
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19/9/5 - Hoping everyone is wrong. We'll see.
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M.A.
Weather Guru
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Posts: 109
Loc: Vero Beach, Fl
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17/9/4
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