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#90L pushing further inland. Rain, t-storms, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes possible in the southeast.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 251 (Nicholas) , Major: 267 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1321 (Michael) Major: 1321 (Michael)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2011 Forecast Lounge

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: TS Don Forecast Lounge [Re: MikeC]
      #90807 - Thu Jul 28 2011 07:24 PM

For what it is worth, the 18Z GFS does bring Don in somewhere between Brownsville and Corpus Christi.
ED


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: TS Don Forecast Lounge [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #90816 - Thu Jul 28 2011 09:06 PM

Interesting that at 18Z the HWRF increases the wind to 60kts at 29/00Z and then steadily decreases it to about 45kts at landfall south of Corpus Christi.
ED


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WesnWylie
Weather Guru


Reged: Sat
Posts: 155
Loc:
Re: TS Don Forecast Lounge [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #90817 - Thu Jul 28 2011 09:58 PM

The latest 00Z models do not show a significant difference from the 18Z run. Despite the jog to the west, they still show a similar scenario (landfall around Corpus Christi).

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2011 Season Forecast: 16/09/04
2011 Systems: 10/01/01

Edited by WesnWylie (Thu Jul 28 2011 09:59 PM)


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