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Antigua, Barbuda under a Tropical Storm watch as Philippe gets close enough to bring flooding rain to the Leeward Islands overnight.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 33 (Idalia) , Major: 33 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 33 (Idalia) Major: 33 (Idalia)
17.0N 60.5W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 998mb
Wnw at 7 mph
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27.1N 55.4W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1010mb
N at 13 mph
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

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Reged: Wed
Posts: 2
Loc: New Port Richey, FL
Re: Hurricane Ernesto track [Re: Nateball]
      #71718 - Mon Aug 28 2006 01:21 AM

That sounds about right to me. I'm guessing that Ernesto will emerge off the northern coast of Cuba as a depression. The latest GFDL track would require significant continued westward movement, yet this weak storm seems to be oozing poleward already and I don't see anything in particular that would hinder it from continuing in that direction. Perhaps it may graze southeastern Florida as it tries to pull itself back together, but I think this will be an event for the Carolinas -- not Florida.

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Re: Hurricane Ernesto track [Re: allan]
      #72370 - Tue Aug 29 2006 10:59 AM

Gulf of Mexico. It will continue going North and West. Briefly hit Florida and then go into the Gulf and build up strength.

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