VandyBrad
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 80
Loc: Bryan, TX
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I had not seen this posted earlier today, so I thought I'd let everyone know that the University of Florida has officially cancelled all activities for tomorrow.
-------------------- Brad Shumbera
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Bill-n-StPeteFL
Verified CFHC User
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quote]Quote:
So.....have we seen the bulk of what we are going to see here in the Tampa area?
We won't have another extended period of rain like this morning, but we will have on and off squalls through the night; and our winds will ramp up to 40-50mph in gusts by midnight. Most significantly, onshore winds from the SW will generate coastal flooding in the typical spots, such as Shoreacres in St. Pete. This reminds me of Tropical Storm Josephine in 1996, although I don't think that the coastal flooding will be as bad. I recall a windy night with 45mph wind gusts and occasional rain squalls.
The winds have increased substantially during the last hour here at my house, after being very calm most of the day. I've recorded a gust of 25mph. With the storm moving closer overnight, 40-50mph gusts seem reasonable. My rainfall total up to this point is 2.6 inches.
Yes I notice the winds becoming more steady here in St Pete in the last hour myself.
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madmumbler
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL
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WELL IAM COVERING THE WEST PASCO AREA FROM HOLIDAY TO PORTRICHEY...
ITS SEEMS YO U DONT GET MUCH INFO FOR WEATHER IN THIS AREA ...WHAT SHOULD WE EXPECT HERE?
RIGHT NOW
72 RAIN SE WIND 10 TO 20
I was actually up there in Bayonet Point today around 1pm after my son's appointment in St. Pete this morning.
If you are west of 19 and in an area that floods, especially if it flooded during the No-Name storm in '93, then you need to think about evacuating if you have been asked to do so. I can't remember if "zone A" was asked to leave or not.
If you are east of 19, and not in a low-lying area or on a canal/Cotee river, you will most likely be fine. BUT you need to check out local emergency management's website for any updates.
-------------------- Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.
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madmumbler
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL
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According to heraldtoday.com "Emergency officials in Manatee say expected storm surge not serious
"
They are only expecting some street flooding on Anna Maria Island.
heraldtoday.com
My dh works for Sarasota county and the EOC wasn't activated today. (He has to be there when it is.) They are in stand-by mode or whatever they call it. They aren't expecting any major problems either.
I would say there's a potential for some beach errosion and possible low-lying area flooding IF the winds are strong enough, but not on a massive scale. Just my opinion.
-------------------- Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.
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berrywr
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
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LLC is exposed, and Alberto more and more looks like a hybrid system now, and I simply see no evidence he'll become a hurricane. Latest Vortex message, supports a weaker storm, though their maintaining 60 knots. Max FL winds were 52 and 44 knots. I look to see the system become dynamic with baroclinic processes as upper environment becomes more hostile. There is one mediating circumstance; Alberto's forward motion which will help against shear, but I see no evidence of this on satellite and vapor imagery.
-------------------- Sincerely,
Bill Berry
"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"
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Ned
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 31
Loc: W.Coast Fl.
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I looked at both loops posted and on the high-resolution visible satellite being shown on BayNews9, it appears that there is another center trying to form almost due east of Tampa Bay. This is not just my opinion, this was pointed out by Alan Winfield and it's very easy to see. Perhaps what we thought was Alberto falling apart was Alberto re-organizing himself - again.
5pm Advisory out: still a Tropical Storm w/ winds of 70mph. Did not hear any other updates; that's all they had to offer.
I knew Tampa would get it,but from the east??
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