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Today is the last day of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season. 8 landfalls including Ida, but no landfalls in the late season.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 83 (Nicholas) , Major: 99 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1153 (Michael) Major: 1153 (Michael)

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Veteran Storm Chaser

Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Which wave east of islands
      #13661 - Tue Oct 07 2003 05:00 PM

?? please give details


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Storm Tracker

Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida
Re: Which wave east of islands
      #13662 - Tue Oct 07 2003 06:11 PM

The ULL in the mid-Carribean is forecast to drift west with High Pressure to build behind creating a better enviroment for development. The GFL model tries to develop a tropical system and move it over PR and into the Bahamas.

Looking at the Sat pics it appears that the convection is expanding west which up till today has been supressed by a circulation over Northern SA and a trough in the mid-Atlantic. The trough is suppose to slip out that while the North SA feature is suppose to weaken.

Thats the best I can do. I'm waiting for HanKFranK or Steve to come on and explain it better.



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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: Which wave east of islands
      #13663 - Tue Oct 07 2003 06:18 PM

ha! you've got it covered, man.. best as i could. steve would probably say something different/better, 'cause he's got bastardi's ideas to play over in his mind at any given time.
i've been watching the basin shear.. it's up to where nothing can easily get going most everywhere.. in this environment only a NE-moving system would get very strong.. unless the overall shear decides to drop off again. usually when it gets up like this.. season is about finished.
HF 2218z07october

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