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A few swirls trying to earn an Invest tag in the final days of the 2021 Season. Their environment is not ideal for development.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 74 (Nicholas) , Major: 90 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1144 (Michael) Major: 1144 (Michael)

Archives 2000s >> 2003 News Talkback

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Storm Tracker

Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida
Re: td18 forming??
      #13686 - Fri Oct 10 2003 03:17 PM

In reply to:

Will it be Today? If so, will it go to the fish or to the Gulf?

It will be classified today and go to the fish.



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Registered User

Reged: Mon
Posts: 6
      #13687 - Fri Oct 10 2003 04:36 PM

Tropical Storm Mindy has developed near Hispaniola and is expected to move north....

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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: Mindy
      #13688 - Fri Oct 10 2003 05:18 PM

mindy.. on the advisory recon had a 1004 low but couldnt close it off.. now a vortex is in with a stronger sample of winds and a 1003 pressure. despite the satelite presentation (t number of 1.0) it seems to be authentic. should drift up near the eastern bahamas next day or two, then zip out by bermuda. should peak between 50-65 kts in intensity.
of extra interest is the hybrid low cutting off east of north carolina, forecast to loop slowly along the mid atlantic coast next couple of days. ssd has a 1.5 subtropical rating on it.. it has some frontal structure, but should be occluding over mild to warm waters.. if the shear profile doesnt change it could turn into something as well.
globals variously have a system developing east of the low off the outer banks, moving east.. some limited development in the SE atlantic (lots of shear, pattern not progressive enough yet), a low in the gulf tailing off and decaying from the current mid-latitude system near louisiana, some kinda of low zipping up the east coast from the NE gulf ahead of a front, and a pattern that favors development in around a week to ten days in the western caribbean.
there's a lot of variability in the different models, and from run to run, though.. have to wait for more consistency to start considering these phantoms.
HF 2118z10october

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Mary K.
Weather Guru

Reged: Sun
Posts: 166
Re: Mindy, Is Nicholas trying to debut in the gulf?
      #13689 - Fri Oct 10 2003 07:31 PM

I was astonished to see a mass of clouds and a spin in the western gulf tonight. I had been looking at Mindy and it had not occurred to me why my joints were aching. Then I checked the Gulf shot and what a surprise. I was expecting those clouds over the Alabama Georgia coast to be gone. But... Now I know why the knee hurts and the wrist is stiff. We have another area of disturbed weather

weather is all you can count on, good or bad.

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Mary K.
Weather Guru

Reged: Sun
Posts: 166
Re: Mindy Neat Idea!
      #13690 - Fri Oct 10 2003 08:19 PM

Hey that is a neat idea of giving the previous coordinates along with the current ones. It really helps to see how the storm is progressing without having to surf all over the place.

weather is all you can count on, good or bad.

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