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Western Gulf and NW Caribbean increasingly favored for development potential over the next week or so.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 290 (Idalia) , Major: 290 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 290 (Idalia) Major: 290 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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bobbi
Unregistered




Re: come on... anon.. [Re: Unregistered User]
      #17074 - Fri Jul 30 2004 06:41 PM

its NOT TD5

this season calls for kava kava


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bobbi
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seriously...short post [Re: Unregistered User]
      #17075 - Fri Jul 30 2004 06:44 PM

center at 27.5/71 headed just north of west if not west

and secondary center SE of there.. has more of nw movement but is caught up in the flow of the center to the west

thats my call

clouds wrapping a bit more on visible


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Rabbit
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Re: seriously...short post [Re: bobbi]
      #17076 - Fri Jul 30 2004 06:54 PM

this will not be a tropical storm anytime soon. If it were really that tropical, there would be major convection blowing off of the center with the easterly shear. I think IF it is upgraded at all (NHC has lost some credibility with me) it will likely be a subtropical system

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James88
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Re: seriously...short post [Re: Rabbit]
      #17077 - Fri Jul 30 2004 06:59 PM

A subtropical system would seem likely based on the current appearance, but we'll really know the score in a few hours. If this is the case, is there a chance that it could make the transition to a tropical system before it leaves us?

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Anonymous
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Re: Recon observations [Re: Cycloneye]
      #17078 - Fri Jul 30 2004 07:03 PM

NHC has a breakdown of how the recon reports are read, at their site. Take a look.

sc


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rmbjoe1954
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Re: come on... show me which is the center [Re: bobbi]
      #17079 - Fri Jul 30 2004 07:04 PM

I see one of the centers (76w/28n) pulling 99L to the West; it may seem Florida may not be out of the woods for rainy weather from 99L.

--------------------
________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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Rabbit
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Re: seriously...short post [Re: James88]
      #17080 - Fri Jul 30 2004 07:05 PM

could transition, but any first advisory will likely be subtropical

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bobbi
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I see one of the centers (76w/28n) pulling 99L to the West; [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #17081 - Fri Jul 30 2004 07:10 PM

good... glad im not getting dizzy from the loop

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rmbjoe1954
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Re: I see one of the centers (76w/28n) pulling 99L to the West; [Re: bobbi]
      #17082 - Fri Jul 30 2004 07:30 PM

It does seem like it is pulling west, but I believe it is going WNW; watch out Jxville; you may be in for a soaker.

I'm beginning to see banding around that circulation- but it doesn't seem to have the spirit to mature into something.

--------------------
________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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James88
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Re: I see one of the centers (76w/28n) pulling 99L to the West; [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #17083 - Fri Jul 30 2004 07:34 PM

Looks like 90L may be trying to pull itself together. There is a little more convection blossoming over the system now.

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bobbi
Unregistered




ok..loop lookers.. is there a twist south of cuba? [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #17084 - Fri Jul 30 2004 07:34 PM

http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/satelliteworld/caribbeansatellite_large_animated.html

seriously..seen it slowly developing down there.. also see more color in the gulf near the yucatan but talking tucked away neatly south of cuba.. does seem to twist and no im NOT watching the WV loop.


Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Jul 31 2004 01:11 AM)


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bobbi
Unregistered




not best radar but get an idea [Re: bobbi]
      #17085 - Fri Jul 30 2004 07:40 PM

http://www.met.inf.cu/radar.asp

taking a break, go on name something w/o me.. have fun
bobbi


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James88
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Re: not best radar but get an idea [Re: bobbi]
      #17086 - Fri Jul 30 2004 07:59 PM

Recon have reported a west wind - does this mean we finally have a system on our hands?!

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rmbjoe1954
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Re: not best radar but get an idea [Re: James88]
      #17087 - Fri Jul 30 2004 08:01 PM

90L OR 99L?

--------------------
________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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James88
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Re: not best radar but get an idea [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #17088 - Fri Jul 30 2004 08:03 PM

99L - (they cancelled the recon to 90L this morning).

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rmbjoe1954
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Re: not best radar but get an idea [Re: James88]
      #17089 - Fri Jul 30 2004 08:07 PM

It sure looks nice on satellite-it is moving due west for now.

--------------------
________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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h2ocean
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Re: not best radar but get an idea [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #17090 - Fri Jul 30 2004 08:20 PM

Yeah, I have been watching that westward movement...I wonder if the models from last evening's run saying it go into FL was onto something? Interestingly the after NWS discussions don't mention any direct impact at all...MLB even said about lower precip. chances some tomorrow. It will be interesting to see where it goes...TV weather folks still saying NC...not so sure about that now, or maybe after a recurve. Interesting if it does hit FL to GA area, that would backup Bastardi's Teleconnection ideas, though he was also saying a Carolina hit.

--------------------
Merritt Island, FL Home Weather Station


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Rob_M
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Re: not best radar but get an idea [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #17091 - Fri Jul 30 2004 08:21 PM

Seems to be becoming more linear on satellite imagery...not as impressive as it was earlier today. Also, recon has not found sustained winds stronger than 24KT so far. As of now, not looking too good for a classification next advisory. It may try to pull together before reaching the coast...but I don't see anything more than a TD or STD from this one.

Still think 90L has some potential as it moves slowly further W. A pre-existing low level circulation moving slowly under a large upper level ridge in bath Gulf waters always bears watching.

--------------------
Rob Mann
IndependentWx.Com


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h2ocean
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Re: not best radar but get an idea [Re: h2ocean]
      #17092 - Fri Jul 30 2004 08:53 PM

Bastardi's afternoon update still says NC - he says between Cape Lookout and Cape Fear as a 60 mph storm on He is still concerned about the Gulf system.

--------------------
Merritt Island, FL Home Weather Station


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GaryC
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Re: not best radar but get an idea [Re: h2ocean]
      #17093 - Fri Jul 30 2004 08:59 PM

any new news about this system?

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