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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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bobbi
Unregistered




atlantic wave [Re: Hurric]
      #18214 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:24 PM

agree its a player, wouldn't say it has an eye wanting to peek out but something is going on there

less shear..
where is the center?

would love to know more.. like to see surface obs as it gets closer to the islands..

believe there are no warnings out currently..
waiting for more clarity in info


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Frank P
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LLC ~ 22.9 and 87.9 exTD2 [Re: SirCane]
      #18216 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:33 PM

best estimate of the location of the LLC from the sat loops... I think it might have a good shot of being classified as a weak depression once recon gets out there later this afternoon.... providing of course it maintains what it currently has... convection continues to pulse with some deep convection building just south of the LLC, and off to the northeast which is fighting shear, and to the east of the LLC as well..

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bobbi
Unregistered




is TD 2 remnants going w or wnw? i think w this minute.. [Re: Frank P]
      #18217 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:42 PM

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html

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James88
Weather Master


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Re: LLC ~ 22.9 and 87.9 exTD2 [Re: Frank P]
      #18218 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:43 PM

Since Storm Floater 2 is now over 93L we can keep a closer eye on it. It looks pretty impressive.

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rmbjoe1954
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Re: LLC ~ 22.9 and 87.9 exTD2 [Re: James88]
      #18219 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:45 PM

Are there any models showing where 93L will go?

--------------------
________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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Frank P
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Re: LLC ~ 22.9 and 87.9 exTD2 [Re: James88]
      #18220 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:48 PM

I see couple of minor problems with 93L at the moment.... its moving a little to fast and it's too close to SA.... losing some of its convection off to the south because of its low latitude.... needs to slow down and get a good northerly component to its west motion... but it sure has some potential, and these minor problems can be overcome quite rapidly...

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Steve
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Re: LLC ~ 22.9 and 87.9 exTD2 [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #18221 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:49 PM

Yeah, 93L is a Gulf storm by all means. Click on the link below. The models are in fairly good agreement about this one.

Wright Weather Model Map

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions


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Colleen A.
Moderator


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Re: Quiet for Awhile [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #18222 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:50 PM

Well, with 91L and 93L, looks like there'll be some busy people on this board. Both look pretty impressive. Will be interesting to see what ty[e of Recon (if they're going out) will bring back.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: Also off N Fl [Re: summercyclone]
      #18223 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:52 PM

Vorticity center forming up..

You know what happens if TOO much gets going at same time///NHC is already backing off ex TD 2 a bit....meanwhile, that is a very interesting swirl over LA...storms have actually developed just on the coast there before.

Try this for a scenario..TD or weak TS develops off LA and moves across Fl or lower ALA

EX TD 2 becomes a CAt 1 storm and hits panhandle

Mr. C comes along and enters the Gulf in about 4 days......


sc


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James88
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Re: Quiet for Awhile [Re: Colleen A.]
      #18224 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:53 PM

The T-numbers for XTD #2 remain 2.0/2.0, but 93L is up to 1.5/1.5.

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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master


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Re: LLC ~ 22.9 and 87.9 exTD2 [Re: Frank P]
      #18225 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:54 PM

I get the feeling that like the former and future TD2, 93 L will continue heading west then turn NW, then N, then complete its cycle by going NE - into the Fl panhandle.- I have no scientific basis for this- just a wrenching feeling seeing how fast 93L is traveling.

--------------------
________2024 Forecast: 24/14/7________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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Colleen A.
Moderator


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Cold Front [Re: LI Phil]
      #18226 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:57 PM

We here in Central Florida had a cold front that stalled out for a couple/three days..then lifted to the north. Anyone know how far north it's going or if it's going to be a player in either of these two features?
Thanks

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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BugsBunny
Weather Watcher


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about Louisiana [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #18228 - Mon Aug 09 2004 03:58 PM

Tropical Storm Beryl in 1988 actually developed over southeast Louisiana from a frontal low.

Beryl 1988

--------------------
forecast: 17/14/9/5
to date: 3/3/2/1


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Colleen A.
Moderator


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Look At NW Florida Blob [Re: Anonymous]
      #18229 - Mon Aug 09 2004 04:00 PM

Also, look at the blob off the northwest portion of the Florida Peninsula...not saying it will become anything because it looks too close too land. But it's going to be a rainmaker for sure.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: about Louisiana [Re: BugsBunny]
      #18230 - Mon Aug 09 2004 04:03 PM

Right on Bugs...and Juan dithered around and around over there in 1985...and hit..Pensacola.

sc


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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: Look At NW Florida Blob [Re: Colleen A.]
      #18231 - Mon Aug 09 2004 04:04 PM

Yep, its going to be stormy no matter how you look at it in the Fl Big Bend....

sc


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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


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Re: about Louisiana [Re: BugsBunny]
      #18232 - Mon Aug 09 2004 04:04 PM

Here are some blasts from the past you might have lost in your bookmarks over the years:

UW 8km High Rest of the Hemisphere

And the IR

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions


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jth
Storm Tracker


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Re: about Louisiana [Re: Steve]
      #18233 - Mon Aug 09 2004 04:14 PM

That little low is interesting. The pressures are rising in the are, but bouy data does support a closed surface low almost directly over NO. With Bouys east of the center showing south or southeast winds and west of the center showing NW winds. Don't think anything will come of it, but it does throw another chip on the table.

That sysytem in the islands is the most impressive wave I have seen in the 15 years I have been following these things. South America will be a problem, but if it can come a little north, look out.


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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


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Re: about Louisiana [Re: jth]
      #18234 - Mon Aug 09 2004 04:20 PM

It's low pressurey here today. Lots of mixed clouds, occasional rainfall and 8-12k winds. Nothing major, but a nice cool summer day FWIW. Looks like the main band (an arm perhaps?) is moving toward the Mobile & P'cola coasts.

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions


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joepub1
Storm Tracker


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New Thread?? [Re: Steve]
      #18235 - Mon Aug 09 2004 04:22 PM

Since we seem to have two players back on the map, and it's not as quiet as it once was, shall we wait for the NHC to not make a call, or start a new thread so we can ge down to some real stormtracking. I'm giving both systems the thumbs up; 91L is a hearty little rabbit eater, and should be given a name just for keeping a "slow period" going.....

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