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Western Gulf and NW Caribbean increasingly favored for development potential over the next week or so.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 290 (Idalia) , Major: 290 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 290 (Idalia) Major: 290 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Bonnie's IR looking better this am [Re: GuppieGrouper]
      #18558 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:02 PM

No exposure of the center, what we saw was the effect of the sun's shadow which actually revealed the eye for a brief time, but no the center is neatly tucked int the core of the still small convection

Anybody see a chance for Bonnie to duck the trough, slough to the west and into Mexico? watch the WV, and see if there is not a weakness south of Texas that Bonnie may drift toward.
I personally still bet on the scenario I posted earlier.

--------------------
doug


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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: Bonnie's IR looking better this am [Re: doug]
      #18560 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:28 PM

:?:I still do not see that much of an overall northward motion. Is there anyway this will not take that hard right like most are predicting and just move NNW or North over time instead

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andy1tom
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
Re: Bonnie's IR looking better this am [Re: Anonymous]
      #18561 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:31 PM

new topic on the board

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Hardcore
Unregistered




Re: Bonnie's IR looking better this am [Re: andy1tom]
      #18566 - Tue Aug 10 2004 02:48 PM

Good thing that there not going to use the GFDL model


The official intensity forecast is close
to the previous forecast and the latest SHIPS intensity forecast...
but is much lower than the GFDL model which makes Bonnie a 102 kt
Major hurricane at landfal




http://www.hardcoreweather.com


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