teal61
Weather Hobbyist
Reged:
Posts: 61
Loc: Spring, TX (30.1N 95.5W)
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That water vapor shot is from January 9, 2004.
Seems to be a little early for the 00Z .
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Neptune
Unregistered
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All public schools in Duval and St. Johns County are closed on Friday.
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Kevin
Weather Master
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Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
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Quote:
Email from a friend:
The is now putting ashore at Vero Beach or so. That's a 24 hour southward movement from Jacksonville. If that holds the Orlando metro area will get blasted like with but worse.
I'm still forecasting a Ft. Lauderdale-Miami window, the only Meteorologist (I think) forecasting that landfall, with no changes over the past three days. Even this landfall can still blast the Tampa Bay area but more likely a Sarasota to Ft. Myers window. A path south of Miami through the Florida Keys and/or Florida Straits is also "possible".
Take Care,
Thomas F. Giella
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL
Basically, Mr. Giella knows what is going on internally at the this evening? Vero Beach is further south of the 5PM forecast, which basically showed a Melbourne landfall. The track (internally) shifted southward?
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SoonerShawn
Unregistered
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Whenever there is a trough around it seems that most of the time the models tend to lean toward the trough picking the system up. It's like they are bias to the troughs. Sometimes they are right but sometimes they are wrong. I haven't seen too many models that would favor a ridge over a trough. Just an opinion.
ShawnS
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BillD
User
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Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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The 8PM still does not have a Hurricane Watch for Florida.
Pressure holding at 938, 140mph wind speed, speed 14mph, WNW heading.
Bill
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kelcot
Weather Guru
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Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
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they also closed schools in Indian River County (Vero and Sebastian) the difference is that they are to be closed tomarrow and Friday
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Kelly
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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Frances still looks to be moving in a general wnw motion, best guess ~290 to 295 degrees.... not the 280 to 285 motion of earlier today, but not 315 degrees either.... IMO....
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ShaggyDude
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 112
Loc: Cocoa Beach, Florida
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Don't know if already posted, but all schools, colleges, county offices and NASA are closed thurs and fri.
In Brevard, that is.
Edited by ShaggyDude (Thu Sep 02 2004 12:03 AM)
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andy1tom
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 309
Loc: Callaway, Florida
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i think he may have "insider information" he has sure gave us some heads-up on info
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Chad
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 22
Loc: Citrus County, Fla.
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Thanks for catching that...I've edited it out. 
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Chad
28.97
82.48
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spook
Unregistered
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22.3-71.4-looks like almost nw
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ShaggyDude
Weather Guru
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Posts: 112
Loc: Cocoa Beach, Florida
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Well, it does seem like the eye is growing once more.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-wv-loop.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
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Palm Beach County schools now closed for the next 2 days. Originally tomorrow was going to be a half day in the a.m.
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Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4
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Doombot!
Unregistered
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Quote:
Seems to be a little early for the 00Z .
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_06.gif
GFDL ran @ 2327z
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Mooshie-SC
Verified CFHC User
Reged:
Posts: 16
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Was the turn to the NW mentioned in latest advisory expected?
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Shawn W.
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 23
Loc: Charleston, S.C.
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Those 3 tracks would put Charleston (me) on the immediate NW side of the storm. Jesus, we JUST got hit by Gaston 4 days ago.
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wxman007
Meteorologist
Reged:
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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Quote:
Quote:
Seems to be a little early for the 00Z .
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_06.gif
GFDL ran @ 2327z
...off of 18Z data....so it isn't surprising that it mirrors the ...It has not run on 00Z data yet.
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Jason Kelley
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Humanriff
Verified CFHC User
Reged:
Posts: 24
Loc: Davenport, FL
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Don't even think about coming to Florida this weekend. I don't know what frame of reference you have about big storms like this, but if it comes through Orlando as the current track shows, it could turn into a junkyard. The airlines will be getting all of their equipment somewhere else and it could be a week before you get out of here. We just went through a couple of weeks ago and were just on the edge of it, and didn't have power for 3 days.
Stay where you are...safe.
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HCW
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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Can someone please post a map for South and Central FL ?
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Over 4,000 members and now on a new server
http://www.hardcoreweather.com
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Chad
Verified CFHC User
Reged:
Posts: 22
Loc: Citrus County, Fla.
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Quote:
That water vapor shot is from January 9, 2004.
I think it's a typo on the image...
Look at all 3 for GOES east...
http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/tropsat.html
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Chad
28.97
82.48
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