Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
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This image from gives a good idea of size comparison. Although i think it is from the 5am Advisory a couple of days ago. Keep checking his site at www.skeetobite.com for updated graphics.
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doug
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
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The 5am discussion spent many lines discussing the ULL digging in and diving SW now located at 36n/48w...indeed it is doing that...this may be what will push that ridge also diving to the sw. Florida is again in the center of the bulls eye...enough is enough already!
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doug
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HCW
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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Quote:
This image from gives a good idea of size comparison. Although i think it is from the 5am Advisory a couple of days ago. Keep checking his site at www.skeetobite.com for updated graphics.
This storm looks like anouther Camille 
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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
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http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200409_5day.html
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in orlando
Unregistered
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I wanted to say a heartfelt thank you to those compassionate people who haave wished upon themselves rather than have it hit Florida as the third in a month. I live in South Orlando. My house was in the eye of and in the northeast quadrant of . We lost a tree and the roof from our carport. The debris from was just picked up last night, so the majority of my neighborhood still had debris during . We were without power for 5 days in and 1 in . I am listing this not for pity, but to show that compared to others around the state, I did fairly well. God was watching out for us.
Being through these storms has allowed me to witness a community uniting in destruction, not in a micro sense, but as a macrocommunity encompassing all of Central Florida. Neighbor helping neighbor.
I speak for the citizens of Florida when I say that we don't wish or any other severe storm on anybody else. We would like to see it simply flounder in open water. But it does mean a lot to read of the compassion that residents of other hurricane prone states have towards Florida.
Please continue to keep those of us in storm-affected areas of Florida in your prayers and thoughts as we clean up from and (and perhaps prepare for ).
God Bless
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DEBORAH2002
Unregistered
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I want to thank the person who just posted from Orlando about all of the folks who have been so helpful to us here. I live in Oviedo (Seminole County) and had more or less the same damage as "in orlando". I hope somehow EVERYBODY gets spared, be they in Florida, Mississippi, Alabama or anywhere else this thing could land. So, I second the "thanks" that "in orlando" gave.
deb
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Kimberley Clark
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 44
Loc: Mobile, Alabama
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I know that this Southern Alabama girl will continue to pray for those of you in Florida. We have a member of our church who was down there with the insurance adjusters and said that it was awful before Francis hit. They sent him home prior to Francis. I keep looking and reading hoping I find something to keep this thing away from Florida. This morning on our local weather they said the drop sondes (sp?) picked up 210 mph winds at 350 feet above sea level. That is scary. I know there are a lot of questions about where it will go, but I believe we all need to pray for a halt in . Wherever it ends up IT'S GONNA BE BAD!!! Don't forget to be praying for those in Jamaica today and tomorrow. GOD'S SPEED TO YOU GUYS IN FLORIDA.
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Kimberley Clark
Mobile, Alabama
Weather Watcher
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rickonboat
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 90
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The 4-5 day official
forecast...which is highly uncertain...calls for a solution in
between...bringing the hurricane over west/central Cuba into the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico and then Florida.
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MaryLou
Unregistered
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If one only has enough material to cover the windows to protect one side of ones house, which side should it be?
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alan
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 95
Loc: Apopka, FL
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There are two many ifs to answer that question about which side of the house.
Remember, if you are directly hit, you will get winds from two directions. If it is a side glane, you will get hit from three directions.
Also, are there other buildings protecting it from debris on any of the sides?
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SkeetoBite
Master of Maps
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Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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Full size images available at Skeetobite.com
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HCW
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
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Quote:
Full size images available at Skeetobite.com
Good stuff. Thanks for the update and keep up the good work
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RedFred
Unregistered
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I hope your street level is wrong, firstly I live in Plant City and I don't want it anywhere near me, and secondly, I would hate to see it make landfall in Port Charlotte again.
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SkeetoBite
Master of Maps
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Posts: 298
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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Quote:
I hope your street level is wrong, firstly I live in Plant City and I don't want it anywhere near me, and secondly, I would hate to see it make landfall in Port Charlotte again.
All maps are accurate to within 100 meters of the forecast path.
Looks like the secret lab will have a third hit in 4 weeks.
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jth
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 275
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That appears like a worst case scenario. Hope that track is wrong, but it looks pretty good. Again, I don't think there is any way for the US to avoid another major hit.
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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 337
Loc:
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Skeetobyte,
I appreciate your maps.
It looks like your secret lab site is not a secret......at least to the hurricanes this year.
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tenavilla
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 95
Loc: Tampa Area
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I've been reading here for awhile, but first time posting. My profile says Tampa, but I'm actually in Wesley Chapel/Zephyrhills which is northeast of Tampa. I don't like what I'm hearing at all. They say Tampa, then go somewhere else, then come right back to this area. & made me slightly nervous, but this one flat-out scares me. I was born in Tampa, and have lived here off and on since 1971, and I have NEVER seen anything like this year. You've got to wonder what we did to deserve this.
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AgentB
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 188
Loc: Winter Park, FL
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Well it's good to be back. Thanks to Mike and everyone else who has a hand in keeping this site up and running. Now to .
Once again many of the models have put us here in Florida under the bullseye. The problem that I've noticed with the models so far is that they've trended too far north. Even comparing the runs from last night to this morning it's easy to see that has not followed the more northerly path that many have forecasted. What does this mean? Well it's very important how far north is when the trough comes through and weakens the ridge that is currently keeping south and moving WNW(much like ). However, most of the models right now believe that sooner rather than later will be far enough north to start his turn within the next day or so(Thursday night/Friday morning). But like I said most of the models have also had a bit too far north to begin with. If stays far enough south he won't start the north turn until he's gotten much farther west than many of the models have forecasted. Bringing him probably over the western end of Cuba and hopefully staying off the coast of Florida. Basically it comes down to whether is far enough north to take advantage of the weakness in the ridge over Florida that he makes a sharp turn to the NW then North. If not, then he continues chugging to the west until the other low, currently over the SW U.S. moves through and forces him to make a turn. It will be very important to see where is when he reaches Jamaica. Further south than currently forecasted and he probably doesn't make a dramatic NW/N turn. Either way everyone needs to pray for the people in Jamaica because they are going to be hit hard no matter what.
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Check the Surf
Edited by AgentB (Thu Sep 09 2004 04:18 PM)
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scottsvb1
Unregistered
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Tena do you live in meadow pointe?
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Kimberley Clark
Weather Watcher
Reged:
Posts: 44
Loc: Mobile, Alabama
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Rick, I thought you would be predicting Mobile Bay by now. Just kidding... This storm does concern me (as it should everyone on the Gulf Coast). My parents are elderly and live right off of Mobile Bay. If Frederick had not turned and sucked the Bay dry, our house would have been under water. It took two days to cut the trees off of the road to see if we had a house left. FEMA people came to check on us and said that by air they could see that over 100 tornados went through our woods and "someone sure must have been praying in that house". My father told him "we were praying, but we were not in that house"!!! I guess there is still somewhat of a good chance that this thing could hit northern central Gulf of Mexico???
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Kimberley Clark
Mobile, Alabama
Weather Watcher
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