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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 290 (Idalia) , Major: 290 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 290 (Idalia) Major: 290 (Idalia)

News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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Weather Guru

Posts: 136
Loc: Osceola County
Re: where is discussion [Re: Unregistered User]
      #30389 - Thu Sep 23 2004 09:03 PM

Discussion's out, and they're pretty emphatic on not focusing on a point as 1) it's still over two days out and 2) it'll potentially be curving, leaving a possibly wider swath under the strongest winds. They also make a point to emphasize the strengthening potential, pretty much anything they can say to get Floridians to take this seriously.

[witty phrase here]

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Weather Hobbyist

Posts: 91
Loc: Sebring, FL
Re: where is discussion [Re: leetdan]
      #30391 - Thu Sep 23 2004 09:07 PM

Another watch and wait situation. Surely, hurricane season will end this year, right? All the other rules have been broken, though...

When it rains, it pours...

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Weather Master

Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Nothing but wonderful news [Re: Redbird]
      #30392 - Thu Sep 23 2004 09:10 PM

The NHC now has the storm at 26.7and 79.8 in 60 hours. That is like being at my next door neighbors house. On top of that, they now say the shear may not kick in until right near landfall, so it may be a cat 3 storm at landfall. YIKES!!!! I told my wife we needed to keep those shutters up. She complained about the lack of sunlight.

Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:

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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker

Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
Re: where is discussion [Re: Heather]
      #30393 - Thu Sep 23 2004 09:10 PM

I am not getting from the NHC that this is a watch and learn for East Coast of Florida .. More of a watchout and listen..

Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!

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Weather Guru

Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
Ivan [Re: Lake Toho - Kissimmee]
      #30411 - Thu Sep 23 2004 10:10 PM

I know we're mainly focusing on Jeanne today, but I just had to comment on how nice Ivan looks... the high cloud tops sheared off and the circulation center has been clearly visible most of the afternoon. The center has started to look a little ragged over the last few frames, but still worthwhile...


Here's the Lake Charles radar showing the center moving into Vermillion Parish...


...didn't see the new thread....


Edited by Allison (Thu Sep 23 2004 10:13 PM)

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Re: Steering Currents [Re: Colleen A.]
      #30560 - Fri Sep 24 2004 01:18 AM

Actually, I did registar and received the email to confirm, but could not get the link to confirm to open. This was back during Ivan's first run. I will try again to registar. Thanks.

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