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Recon has departed Keesler to check out #93L in the SW Gulf. #92L is now just inland along SE GA coast. June systems can dump lots of rain.
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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ohioaninmiss
Weather Watcher


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Posts: 32
Loc: Columbus, OH
Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: Clark]
      #41899 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:09 PM

Clark -

Your knowledge and the clarity of your explanations constantly amazes me! I add my thanks for all that you do. You have made us all more intelligent!!

--------------------
Marie

Back in Ohio from a crazy summer in Mississippi!


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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher


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Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: h2ocean]
      #41900 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:12 PM

I just read about a tracking system consisting of two box models ( I forget what the name of the system was) that says if a hurricane or tropical storm passes over the two regions where the boxes are located, the hurricane has a great possibility to hit South Florida. The two box places are over the Leeward Islands and in the Caribbean Sea between Cuba and Honduras right to the WSW of Jamaica. Now, I know that the path of TD # 5 will obviously fluccuate for a while but right now, the forecast paths take TD # 5 to both of these places.

I just wanted to know if any of youse have ever heard of this tracking system and if it has predicted well in previous years.


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Tropics Guy
Storm Tracker


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Re: TD # 5 [Re: Unregistered User]
      #41901 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:12 PM

Looking at the new model plots for TD #5, and taking a concensus average, looks like it will be coming into the Carib at a higher latitude than where the developing Dennis was at the time. This may pose a greater threat to the D.R or even P.R, but way to early yet. the 11pm discussion should be interesting.

TG


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


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Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: EaglezFan42]
      #41902 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:14 PM

Just want to tell anyone and everyone that was impacted, hope all is well. Also, want to thank everyone, particularly the pros on this site, for all their knowledge and guidance !!!!!

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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Doombot!
Weather Guru


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Re: TD # 5 [Re: Tropics Guy]
      #41903 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:15 PM

Is it just me or is 5 just looking like a blob. Everything else looked alot more like a TD when it was numbered.

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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 91
Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
Re: TD # 5 [Re: Tropics Guy]
      #41904 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:17 PM

Oh no...check out the latest GFDL run on soon to be TD5...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.c...;hour=Animation

The Global models suggest it may be "interesting" for the SE next week.

--------------------
Merritt Island, FL Home Weather Station


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


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Re: TD # 5 [Re: h2ocean]
      #41906 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:18 PM

This could end up being that short-cut storm JB from Accuweather had been talking abut

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 91
Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
Re: TD # 5 [Re: Doombot!]
      #41907 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:19 PM

Quote:

Is it just me or is 5 just looking like a blob. Everything else looked alot more like a TD when it was numbered.




The last visible loop from today showed a well defined circulation.

--------------------
Merritt Island, FL Home Weather Station


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MikeG
Unregistered




Re: TD # 5 [Re: h2ocean]
      #41908 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:21 PM

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_hom...es&DISPLAY=

05L.NONAME


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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker


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Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: EaglezFan42]
      #41909 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:24 PM

Herberts Box information can be found here
I think Charley passed through one of them last year.


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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher


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Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: Jamiewx]
      #41910 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:27 PM

Jamiewx,
yes, thank you. that's what I was talking about. Just couldnt remember the name. Do you or does anyone else know if Herbert's Box is a somewhat reliable source to go by?


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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker


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Loc: Polk City, FL
Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: Jamiewx]
      #41911 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:30 PM

FtLaudbob's got a storm to actually be worried about!!

just kidding bob...


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Jwtexas
Unregistered




Re: Dennis Aftermath [Re: lunkerhunter]
      #41912 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:32 PM

Does anyone have a link to the extent of damage in the grayton beach seaside area. thanks

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Doombot!
Weather Guru


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Posts: 160
Loc: Lakeland, Fl.
Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: Big Red Machine]
      #41913 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:32 PM

Quote:

FtLaudbob's got a storm to actually be worried about!!

just kidding bob...




This one has a chance, it might even go up his street.


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ShanaTX
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 226
Loc: Texas
Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: EaglezFan42]
      #41914 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:34 PM

If you go to the supplied link and check it out, sounds like it's not a good indicator.

'shana


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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist


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Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: ShanaTX]
      #41915 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:38 PM

It is official....TD#5

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200505_5day.html


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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 371
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Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: ShanaTX]
      #41916 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:38 PM

not sure how good of an indicator it is if a TD or TS passes through one, the article mentions specifically Major Hurricanes.

TD Five Track Forecast - NHC

Edited by Jamiewx (Sun Jul 10 2005 10:41 PM)


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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher


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Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: Jamiewx]
      #41918 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:41 PM

true. I guess I didn't read it carefully. I didn't realize that they meant that almost every hurricane that passed through those boxes hit S. Fla. BEFORE 1950. Since 1950, only a couple that went through the boxes hit S. Fla.

So yeh, I didnt read it carefully


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SeeSaw99
Registered User


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Posts: 9
Loc: Tempe, AZ
Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: EaglezFan42]
      #41923 - Sun Jul 10 2005 10:55 PM

3- and 5-day cones out...forecast as yet another hurricane

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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist


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Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
Re: NRL says Noname 5 [Re: SeeSaw99]
      #41928 - Sun Jul 10 2005 11:08 PM

New Topic is out....

--------------------
Merritt Island, FL Home Weather Station


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