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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)

News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Dropsondes [Re: CaneTrackerInSoFl]
      #43212 - Fri Jul 15 2005 03:04 AM

I'm not seeing any reports from anyone other than the NOAA plane.
They have been doing High Density Observation type reports since 1 AM EDT.
I haven't looked at all of the reports but they are presently well West of Emily.
Recon normally does a Max Wind drop, an EYEWALL drop and another drop. I believe these three dropsonde drops are done just prior to each Center fix.
So you would get a drop, in reverse order, from inside the Eyewall, just outside the eye should be the Max Wind drop, and I'm not sure where the other drop is made.

This link might help.
(Caution: large file for dialup users)

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Weather Hobbyist

Posts: 97
Loc: Fort Lauderdale, FLorida
Re: Emily Now a CAT 4 [Re: CaneTrackerInSoFl]
      #43216 - Fri Jul 15 2005 07:18 AM




Man oh man, nothing ceases at amaze me at this point. I mean the rapid strengthening that Dennis and now Emily have undergone is just something to watch. Let's hope Emily stays south, but I am beginning to get the feeling that Emily might make a US landfall......Texas really needs to watch and I don't think Louisiana is out of the woods yet either.

I'm with you. I don't feel comfortable with this one until she's made landfall. Or as some of the models are indicating...lost her spin.

Okay, Recon has departed the storm and next Vortex is due at 12Z or 8AM EDT. Unless the NOAA plane is tasked with fixes while the USAFR isn't flying.
NOAA planes pulled double duty with Dennis. They could do it again with Emily.

Aren't the recon flights dropping drop sondes in the area to help determine the future environment?

different missions for different sampling...i have seen recon out to over 500 miles in front of a system to do their sampling.

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Storm Tracker

Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: Emily a Hurricane [Re: ohioaninmiss]
      #43217 - Fri Jul 15 2005 07:23 AM


From wunderground:


I know that Dennis and Emily should not follow the same path later, but look how identical they are now - WOW!

So much for Dennis churning up cooler water in places they both traveled... But, maybe if they stay on the same course, there's a chance for that?

What changed in the upper atmosphere that allowed Dennis to turn northward and go toward the Panhandle, but doesn't allow Emily to turn and sends her to Texas/Mexico? I'm sure there is no record of what things looked like for Dennis, so I can compare them to Emily, so I'll just have to trust an expert testimony.

Terra Dassau Cahill

Edited by Terra (Fri Jul 15 2005 07:31 AM)

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Weather Hobbyist

Posts: 64
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL, 26.98N 82....
Re: Emily a Hurricane [Re: Terra]
      #43220 - Fri Jul 15 2005 07:46 AM

Found another intresting link that allows you to look at the upper winds and it shows Emily in the central gulf 84 hrs from now. What a year....


Stay Aware...Stay Alert....Stay Alive.....

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Storm Tracker

Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
Re: Emily a Hurricane [Re: firestar_1]
      #43250 - Fri Jul 15 2005 10:39 AM

down to 125mph at the 11am adv 968 mb pressure

Sorry didn't realize that there was a new thread.

Over 4,000 members and now on a new server


Edited by HCW (Fri Jul 15 2005 10:52 AM)

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