F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Tropical Storm Warning extended north along coastal TX to San Luis Pass. Sprawling Storm 01L will likely be named Alberto within 24 hours.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 293 (Idalia) , Major: 293 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 293 (Idalia) Major: 293 (Idalia)
22.0N 92.6W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Nne at 6 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | (show all)
ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Re: Emily [Re: MichaelA]
      #43699 - Mon Jul 18 2005 01:55 AM

Quote:

No visible eye on the last frame of the IR loop - 0045Z.


Or is there one a little farther north??This one is driving me nuts!Eye,no eye,eye,no eye.

--------------------

Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Emily [Re: danielw]
      #43700 - Mon Jul 18 2005 01:59 AM

Quote:

I've checked both the WV and IR imagery. I appears to me that the eye may be displaced to the NW. I see a tight curl in the last hour NW of where the ERC was taking place.
I'm using http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/goes




I saw that on the 00:15 water vapor and thought, no. Then I saw the 00:45 and 01:15 and was !what! I have no understanding of what's going on now, except that Emily's last bid to reorganize might have failed because she is so close to land.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Emily Gets Stronger [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #43702 - Mon Jul 18 2005 02:13 AM

Quote:

Quote:

Looks like the eye may come ashore around Tancah. If so, I really doubt if Cancun will see much of anything as far as wind. Forgot for the moment they'd still get storm surge.


That is only about 10 miles north of Tulum,I can not see it hitting that far south.Now the eye in not looking great,I give up.For 3 years I was up and down this coast,I do know it well.It is one of the coolest places on earth.




Actually I just heard TWC say Tulim...which I had considered but thought a little too far south.

Also they just said pressure up to 955...so they must have access to more of the recon data we haven't seen yet, and the storm is still weakening.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

Edited by Margie (Mon Jul 18 2005 02:17 AM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
HCW
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
Re: Emily Gets Stronger [Re: Biowatch]
      #43703 - Mon Jul 18 2005 02:15 AM

Quote:

Thanks for your view, Clark. I did think Merida was in a direct path, and was confused as to what would take the force down with the lack of any elevation. I know it is not that close to the coast, but did not think there was enough real estate in between landfall and Merida to take it down much.




On the current track from the NHC Merida can expect 9 hours of tropical storm force winds starting 7-18-05 05edt peaking at 54 mph at 7-18-05 08edt. If you need any close up maps just let me know. Hurrevac will be up all night long .

--------------------
Over 4,000 members and now on a new server

http://www.hardcoreweather.com


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Biowatch
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 19
Loc: Massachusetts
Re: Emily Gets Stronger [Re: HCW]
      #43704 - Mon Jul 18 2005 02:25 AM

Thanks....going to be a long night............

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
11 PM EDT Update [Re: Biowatch]
      #43706 - Mon Jul 18 2005 03:08 AM

HURRICANE EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN JUL 17 2005 (edited~danielw)

AIR FORCE RECON REPORTED A PEAK 700 MB FLIGHT LEVEL WIND OF 134 KT IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT AT 0018Z. NORMALLY THIS WOULD CORRESPOND TO A SURFACE WIND ESTIMATE OF ABOUT 120 KT. HOWEVER...THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS BEEN RISING STEADILY AND IS NOW UP TO 955 MB.
THEREFORE IT IS ESTIMATED THAT THE INTENSITY IS JUST A LITTLE LOWER AT THIS TIME...115 KT. THIS IS STILL CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH...AND EMILY REMAINS A FORMIDABLE HURRICANE.
RADAR IMAGERY FROM CANCUN SHOWS THE EYEWALL STRUCTURE FLUCTUATING...BUT WITH NO DEFINITIVE
INDICATIONS OF AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT. NOT MUCH CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL IN A FEW HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST...INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST...EARLY ON MONDAY.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT5+shtml/180253.shtml


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
negrildude
Unregistered




Re: Emily [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #43708 - Mon Jul 18 2005 03:09 AM

winds picking up strong still power in cozumel

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: 11 PM EDT Update [Re: danielw]
      #43709 - Mon Jul 18 2005 03:13 AM

Looks like the outer edges are onshore now.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
nl
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
Re: 11 PM EDT Update [Re: Margie]
      #43710 - Mon Jul 18 2005 03:25 AM

hey bob! give us a shout out here on flhurricane.com im praying for these people. i can hear ya on hurricane city. gl bob!

Edited by nl (Mon Jul 18 2005 03:26 AM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
dad
Unregistered




Re: 11 PM EDT Update [Re: Margie]
      #43711 - Mon Jul 18 2005 03:26 AM

Thanks for the updates.Our son is on Cozumel and we have no word from him since he left hotel for shelter.Please try to keep us posted with condition updates and any news abput damage in Cozumel.Our son is supposed to be in a convention center in Cozumel. Our prayers are with all on the mayan coast.
Concerned Dad


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
nl
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 207
Loc: nsb,fl
Re: 11 PM EDT Update [Re: dad]
      #43712 - Mon Jul 18 2005 03:28 AM

i have a friend that was on a cruise down there hope she is ok. im praying for everyone there.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Larry
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 30
Loc: Raleigh, NC
New Thread Started [Re: nl]
      #43713 - Mon Jul 18 2005 03:35 AM

A new thread has started:
Emily to Landfall Near Cozumel


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 119 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Topic views: 39609

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center