F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

Pages: 1 | 2 | (show all)
Raymond
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 112
Loc: Germany
Gustav rapidly intensifying moving SW [Re: cieldumort]
      #83172 - Thu Aug 28 2008 05:11 AM

Wow! I guess we`ll a rapidly intensifying Gustav in the next hours! Pressure drop of 6 hPa in two hours (995-989 hPa). Surface winds up to 46 kt and it´s moving SW! So it`ll pass Jamaica to the southand also maintain it´s connection to the strongest feeder band and so it may continue to intensify to the south of Jamaica!. Ok, I´m quite a bit surprised.
edit: Another wow! In a band to the east of the center 55 kt! Looks reliable!

Edited by Raymond (Thu Aug 28 2008 05:59 AM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Raymond
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 112
Loc: Germany
Re: Gustav rapidly intensifying moving SW [Re: Raymond]
      #83173 - Thu Aug 28 2008 06:32 AM

Ok, I´m a bit puzzled now. Surface winds up to 76 kt in the NE eyewall??? Flight level winds were 67 kt and very heavy rain rates! But the SW part is considerably weaker and center pressure around 986 hPa. Let´s see the vortex data message!
The satellite reprensation is breathtaking! Must have been a very bumpy recon ride!
edit: Ok, the 67 kt are confirmed, but they didn´t report the 76 kt surface winds. Must be absolutely wild in there: center made a notheastward jog!!! And eyewall must be less than 50% complete.
Alltogether: Looks like, that we have Hurricane Gustav again!
edit2: Ok, an explanation for the strenght in the NE/E and the realtive weakness in the SW: If you look on the last microwave pass, you see the mass of the extremely strong convection to the east and the center open to the W/SW!

Edited by Raymond (Thu Aug 28 2008 06:50 AM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Gustav intensifying [Re: Raymond]
      #83175 - Thu Aug 28 2008 07:28 AM

WTNT42 KNHC 281113
TCDAT2
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
730 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2008

AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE HAS FOUND MAXIMUM 700 MB FLIGHT
LEVEL WINDS OF 67 KT...CORRESPONDING TO ABOUT 60 KT AT THE SURFACE.
THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS TO UPDATE THE INTENSITY FORECAST TO
REFLECT THE CURRENT AND FORECAST INTENSITY. THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST. THE STRENGTHENING OF
GUSTAV HAS PROMPTED THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA TO ISSUE A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR JAMAICA.

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY SUPERSEDES THE ISSUANCE OF AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 800 AM EDT.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Gustav intensifying [Re: danielw]
      #83178 - Thu Aug 28 2008 07:52 AM

I removed the word Rapid from the intensification header in my last post.

At the current rate of intensification I may have to add it back to the post.
RECON just found a 983.1mb pressure on the latest pass through the eye.
113300 1752N 07539W 983.1 mb


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
New Thread [Re: danielw]
      #83180 - Thu Aug 28 2008 08:04 AM

New Thread is up. Please post there.
Thanks Mike.

http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/showflat....=true#Post83179


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Raymond
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 112
Loc: Germany
Re: Gustav intensifying [Re: danielw]
      #83182 - Thu Aug 28 2008 08:08 AM

Strongest winds not around the center, but in a band to the NE: 67 kt flight level/70 kt surface. Must be very dynamic in the center region. I guess, it will take some time till we see a fully formed eye. And there is still the issue about the future track: How close it`ll come to Jamaica?

Please read the above post...New Thread started...

Edited by Storm Cooper (Thu Aug 28 2008 08:12 AM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 314 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Topic views: 19364

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center