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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 604 (Milton), US Major: 604 (Milton), FL Any: 604 (Milton), FL Major: 604 (Milton)
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Archives 2010s >> 2017 News Talkbacks

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mjdday
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Loc: 152 Pioneer Trail, Green Cove ...
Re: Cat 5 Maria Nearing the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico [Re: cieldumort]
      #98993 - Wed Sep 20 2017 07:23 AM

NWS Radar in San Juan was taken out around 6:30 AM ET which is pretty close to the time of land fall on the other side of the island. A family member near San Juan is giving me reports. The conditions are severe at the moment. He is in a concrete structure and the winds are shaking it.

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MikeCAdministrator
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Re: Cat 5 Maria Nearing the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico [Re: mjdday]
      #98994 - Wed Sep 20 2017 09:41 AM

The eye of Maria shifted west over the middle of the island, now seems to be bringing the eyewall to ALL of Puerto rico. Comms are out in a lot of the areas, raindfall rates of 5-8 inches/hour. Wind, rain, and surge damage is widespread. It'll take a while to get a good idea exactly what happened.

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cieldumort
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Re: Cat 5 Maria Nearing the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico [Re: cieldumort]
      #98997 - Wed Sep 20 2017 01:00 PM

Guyama, PR - From a few hours ago

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cieldumort
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Re: Center of Maria Exiting NW Coast of Puerto Rico [Re: cieldumort]
      #98998 - Wed Sep 20 2017 02:00 PM




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MikeCAdministrator
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Re: CAT FIVE MARIA AND STORM JOSE [Re: MikeC]
      #99002 - Wed Sep 20 2017 07:58 PM

Maria's eye is clearing out again, but the mountains of Puerto Rico did disrupt it, but did not destroy it, it's likely to restrengthen some (probably not to cat 5 again as it'll be going over the waters stirred up by Irma) It may get very close or the western side to the Turks and Caicos, but the NHC's track seems good. It's very likely to stay well east of Florida.

Puerto Rico was absolutely devistated though, and it's still raining in parts that flooded (and flooded well beyond record flood levels)


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MikeCAdministrator
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Re: CAT FIVE MARIA AND STORM JOSE [Re: MikeC]
      #99005 - Wed Sep 20 2017 10:26 PM

Last recon pass had Maria up to 962, which means its weakened a bit more, although it appears the windfield has expanded a lot. It'll be interesting to see how it unfolds from here.

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cieldumort
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Re: Center of Maria Exiting NW Coast of Puerto Rico [Re: cieldumort]
      #99009 - Thu Sep 21 2017 01:34 PM

Most recent recon pass is finding that Maria may be strengthening, with one minute averaged SFMR surface wind values running about 125 MPH, although pressures are still fairly steady to declining only slowly at this time.

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