Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 199531 Years of Hurricanes Without the Hype - Since 1995

Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 606 (Milton), US Major: 606 (Milton), FL Any: 606 (Milton), FL Major: 606 (Milton)

FlHurricane Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracking 🌀 Since 1995

News

⚠ Current Storms

None

HypeScale:

0.02

0510

Communication

Storm Data

Content

Follow & Connect

🌎 National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2020s >> 2020 News Talkbacks

Jump to first unread post.

Pages: 1

MikeC
Admin

Reged:
Posts: 4829
Loc: Orlando, FL

The Preseason - TD1

#100930 - Tue May 12 2020 01:05 PM

Tropical Depression One has formed northeast of the Bahamas, and tropical storm watches are now up from Surf City to Duck in North Carolina.

It's mid may, and although it is the official start of hurricane season in the East Pacific (may 15th) sometimes we get preseason systems in May in the Atlantic (which starts on June 1st).

A special tropical weather outlook was issued for a system that may begin forming late this week northeast of the Bahamas. Although it isn't expected to directly affect land areas, those in Bermuda may want to keep watch on it.

Error reading wiki page. View on wiki

Post Extras:

MichaelA
Weather Analyst

Reged:
Posts: 956
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL

Re: The Preseason

[Re: MikeC]
#100932 - Tue May 12 2020 04:58 PM

The model page has all current model runs indicating development this coming weekend/early next week. Whether it is sub-tropical or purely tropical will remain to be seen.

I did see an article that stated that the East Pacific sea surface was beginning to cool which, if I recall correctly, could mean an above normal Atlantic season.

--------------------
Michael

PWS

Post Extras:

JMII
Weather Master

Reged:
Posts: 547
Loc: Cape Coral & Margate, FL

Re: The Preseason

[Re: MichaelA]
#100943 - Fri May 15 2020 09:35 AM

Down here in S FL we need the rain, so no complaints with a tropical wave moving thru. Would just prefer it do this during the week and not the weekend however.

--------------------
South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for:
David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22

Post Extras:

Bloodstar
Moderator

Reged:
Posts: 468
Loc: Tucson, AZ

Well, here we go.

[Re: JMII]
#100947 - Sat May 16 2020 03:05 PM

Looks like first advisory will be at 5pm EDT.

Trivia: this will be the sixth year in a row that the Atlantic will have had a tropical system form before June first.

--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
U. Arizona PhD Student

Post Extras:

IsoFlame
Weather Analyst

Reged:
Posts: 412
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...

Re: The Preseason - TD1

[Re: MikeC]
#100957 - Wed May 27 2020 07:47 AM

Looking beyond Invest 91-L for any areas with "upstream" potential for development to our south early in the season, NWS Melbourne mentioned in extended discussion:

GFS guid continues to indicate modest onshore winds from the ATLC with a deepening Caribbean gyre centered near the Yucatan. EC is not quite into the height fall trend to the south.

--------------------
CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

Post Extras:

Pages: 1

Extra information

0 registered and 2 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 17164

Jump to