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#91L in the SW Gulf potential TX and LA threat. Stout Gale Lows off SE TX Coast and Carolinas. Main Development Region, too. Switch flipping? Flhurricane.com
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 33 (Debby) , Major: 374 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 33 (Debby) Major: 374 (Idalia)
 


General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge

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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


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Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
area in Atlantic east of Jacksonville with slim chance for development
      #114976 - Wed Jul 10 2024 09:18 AM

8am 7/10 NHC identified area offshore from NE FL with a slim chance for development this week before it slides north to the Carolinas:


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

Edited by IsoFlame (Wed Jul 10 2024 09:19 AM)


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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 330
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: area in Atlantic east of Jacksonville with slim chance for development [Re: IsoFlame]
      #114978 - Thu Jul 11 2024 08:04 AM

Woke up this morning @ 6:10am to a heavy thunderstorm that dumped nearly one inch in 25 minutes accompanied by gusty north wind. About 5 minutes of Intense lightning during the height of the storm with about a dozen close proximity strikes, most hitting just offshore over the ocean.

Radar indicated that the relatively narrow/broken band of showers with embedded t-storms that pushed down and off the coast from the NNW was associated with the larger area of convection a hundred or so miles out over the Atlantic that the hurricane center is monitoring with a 10% chance of development.

--------------------
CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/


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