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Central Pacific #Kiko now forecast to pass north of Hawaii. In the Atlantic, the pleasant unusually quiet "Peak Season" continues . Shear dominates Gulf.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 338 (Milton) , Major: 338 (Milton) Florida - Any: 338 (Milton) Major: 338 (Milton)
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General Discussion >> 2025 Forecast Lounge
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


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Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: General Long Range Lounge [Re: MichaelA]
      #115855 - Thu Sep 11 2025 04:49 PM

Quote:

This being the climatological peak of the season, the focus for development will begin to shift more toward the Caribbean and the Gulf. If the preseason forecasts are to be verified, a later season peak may be on tap (or not).



Given the near-record warm and untapped SST's in this portion of the Atlantic basin, that is the horse that I'd put my money on. Look at the convection in the western Caribbean Sea and Bay of Campeche that is currently firing there, all that is needed is for the CAG to position favorably south of the unusual and persistent late summer frontal boundary

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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

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