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ticka1
Weather Hobbyist


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Loc: Southeast Texas
Visit with James Franklin at www.wildonweather.com
      #35864 - Wed May 25 2005 07:55 AM

Saturday May 28th at 8:00 p.m. EST - Wildonweather will have a special chatroom program with a very special guest - James Franklin.

Here is a brief bio about James. He is a MIT graduate with Bachelor's and Master's degree in Meteorology and currently a Hurricane Specialist at the NationalHurricaneCenter. Before becoming a Hurricane Specialist in 1999, he worked for 17 years as a research meteorologist with NOAA's Hurricane Research Division. During that time, he made about 80 penetrations into hurricane eyewalls. James was born in Miami, and his first hurricane experience was Cleo in 1964.

Take this opportunity to stop by the chatroom at the below link and talk with James about tropical weather, his experiences and opinions. This is your chance to have a discussion with a real hurricane expert. Let's kickoff the 2005 Atlantic Hurricane season - join us in the wildonweather chatrom for this great opportunity.

Click on the following link and join us: http://www.wildonweather.com/forum/chat/index.php?

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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 331
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
Tornado #`s far below normal for `05 [Re: ticka1]
      #36049 - Thu Jun 02 2005 05:09 PM

Just wondering if anybody read the article in USA Today on the low number of tornados this year. They attribute this to a large low pressure system that has persisted over the Great Lakes and Northeast this spring which blocked the usual storms from forming in the Plains and Midwest.They say that May is usally the worst month and June comes in second place on the average. The heart of Tornado Alley had zero tornados in May, a new record....My question is , with the large size of the area that they are talking about and the persistant low over the Lakes and North East, could this have any affect on where a tropical disturbance goes and the possibility that maybe the number of Hurricanes this year might be lower than everybody thinks....I`m just pondering ..Weatherchef

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Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
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Re: Tornado #`s far below normal for `05 [Re: B.C.Francis]
      #36050 - Thu Jun 02 2005 06:25 PM

I wouldn't say the heart of Tornado Alley saw no tornadoes in May -- I know of a couple of people who personally saw tornadoes in Nebraska last month. SPC climo archives from last month show numerous days just in the first half of the month: 5/7 (12 tornado reports in Nebraska), 5/10 (19 tornado reports in Kansas, Nebraska, and W Iowa), 5/11 (about 12 reports in Kansas and Nebraska), 5/12 (13 reports in the Tx. Panhandle)...and numerous others.

May was, on the whole, below the 3 year average of tornado activity, but all other months besides February, which was at normal, were above average, if just barely so. The reasoning for why there was little tornado activity is sound, though...they just shouldn't make such a blanket statement about no tornadoes when the data shows otherwise.

As to your question: yes, it could, but only if the feature persisted for any length of time. The weather pattern in May was not very progressive, allowing such conditions to maintain themselves over a lengthy period of time. We already have some signs of that changing now, with an active week likely across the midwest. As soon as the blocking pattern over the eastern U.S. breaks down, probably in the next week, we'll see the overall weather pattern start to get back towards normal.

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