Terra
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
|
|
What a great idea! I'm not much of a landfall predictor, but this will be perfect for those who are, and the wishcasters.....
--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill
|
B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 331
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
|
|
Agreed. This should help keep the two main forums open for real time weather information and forcasting......Weatherchef
|
Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
|
|
Heady with excitement over correctly figuring out early on from viewing the sat pics yesterday that Emily would slough off the outer edges, become more compact, and intensify a great deal, I venture a prediction. Got up this morning to find Emily a strong Cat 4; 145mph sustained winds. Radar looks impressive, eye well defined, and now Emily is moving into the creme de la creme of the Carribean as far as potential for strengthening. Reading the water temp map from Steve Gregory's blog, she is about to pass right over the candy store. All this we knew late last night and I thought then that she'd be a Cat 5 - I still think so. I think we'll see rapid strengthening today as it warms up, and again starting in early evening. I predict sustained winds of 160mph before midnight rolls around.
I don't have any skills to predict direction because I don't know any of the tech stuff. So I'll just hope she goes south of Cayman Is and spare them a direct hit.
--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
|
Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
|
|
I guess - close but no cigar. No Cat 5 yet. What I thought would happen by this evening looks not to finish happening until maybe early tomorrow afternoon. Just a newbie, I clearly am not in sync yet with hurricane biorhythms.
Plus it looks like the water temp profile changed and still lots of yummy warm water for Emily to snack on tomorrow (meals are at regular intervals but snacking can be done all day long!).
Guess this new forum didn't exactly take off. I think you gotta keep advertising them.
--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
|
Terra
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
|
|
I think it's just that there are only about 10 of us regularly posting on Emily, and most of us aren't the long-range forecasting type. I think the forum will do better when a storm is more relevant to posters on the board.... Now, granted, they may not post here initially, but I'm thinking the mods see this as a good place to put many inappropriate posts from the News Forum.
--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill
|
Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
|
|
Well I feel somewhat mollified...the met blogs from wunderground seem to concur that Emily was a Cat 5 with some higher winds for a short time, but not for a long enough time for to upgrade the intensity.
Sun morning things seem a lot like Emily's previous reorganization. Concensus seems to be that Emily won't have enough time to get back to her previous strength before landfall, but that there will still be a lot of damage due to the large amount of building that went on along the coasts the last 15 years. Well I am glad she won't get the chance to get back up to that strength. Yesterday was a really interesting day to watch her and I'll be satisfied with that.
--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
|
Previous
Index
Next
Threaded
Edit
Reply
Quote
