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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge
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another hurricane party
Registered User


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forecast models
      #44646 - Fri Jul 22 2005 09:24 AM

Are any of the hurricane models used generally more accurate than the others

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TAZMAN
Weather Watcher


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Posts: 48
Loc: Clermont, Fl
Re: forecast models [Re: another hurricane party]
      #44651 - Fri Jul 22 2005 09:40 AM

Are there any maps that have the actual path the hurricane took layed over the ongoing projected NHC path..... just to compare

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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: forecast models [Re: TAZMAN]
      #44655 - Fri Jul 22 2005 10:05 AM

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200505.asp?imgfeature=verification&textfeature=track

For a different storm, where it says at200505, just type in 01, 02, 03, 04 etc etc where ending 05 is

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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed

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TAZMAN
Weather Watcher


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Posts: 48
Loc: Clermont, Fl
Re: forecast models [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #44657 - Fri Jul 22 2005 10:18 AM

That helps but I was wondering about an accumulation from day 1... not having it reset as that one does

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Clark
Meteorologist


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Re: forecast models [Re: another hurricane party]
      #44669 - Fri Jul 22 2005 11:18 AM

The FSU Superensemble has been the best track model over the past two seasons; beyond that, the ensemble mean (GFS, UKMET, GFDL, and NOGAPS) usually is up there, with the NOGAPS tending to be the best member model of those over the past few seasons. It changes from year to year, storm to storm.

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Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)

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