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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Last 2 QuickScat passes
      #47236 - Wed Aug 10 2005 01:47 AM

going out on a limb.....think a new center at the surface has formed in the new convection to the south....i think i see pretty good signs of reformation....if this trend holds then there is a good chance of TS status today.....shear will be lighter and less dry air near the storm......oh yeah, warmer waters too
plus a shift of initial track.....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-ir2-loop.html

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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Wed Aug 10 2005 01:49 AM)

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berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Negative on new center [Re: Storm Hunter]
      #47240 - Wed Aug 10 2005 03:17 AM

The center is between the two burst of convection and Irene looks like a tropical storm now on satellite, with convection wrapping very near the center. If you streamline the pattern, you'll clearly note the center between the two bursts. I do note the due west movement, and I suspect you'll see a shift in the forecast track though NHC as long as I can remember never radically jumps from it's current track in one advisory.

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Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 829
Loc: Valladolid,Mx
Re: Negative on new center [Re: berrywr]
      #47271 - Wed Aug 10 2005 10:06 AM

Looks to me like some rotation starting.

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Survived: 10 hurricanes in Rhode Island,Florida and the Yucatan of Mexico .


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