D3m3NT3DVoRT3X
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 48
Loc: The Burg < FL
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if u are talking about the storms of the coast of the fl ga border those are assioated with a low .. that is moving east away from any interests i believe
my 2 cents =p
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NONAME
Weather Guru
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Posts: 136
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I'm Suprised navy doesnt have a invest of for the wave near 13n 30w after what the Said-
"E ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 30W/31W S OF 22N MOVING W 10-15 KT. BROAD ROTATION ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE WITH LOWER PRESSURES SUGGESTING THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 13N. THE WAVE COULD BEGIN MOVING FASTER NOW THAT IT IS FARTHER AWAY FROM THE ENHANCING W WINDS OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA. ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS S OF THE ."
If it has a LLC then I would say is should soon become a TD. What do the met/mod have to say About this one?
notice the TWD doesn't say closed circulation. if you look at the satelite, there is a puff of cloud debris near the turning in the atmosphere and all the convection is strung to the south along the . this thing is nowhere near developing... maybe as the wave energy gets further west/into a moister environment it will perk back up.. not much in the way of modeling to suggest that, though. -HF
Edited by HanKFranK (Fri Aug 19 2005 12:34 PM)
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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quick check of the basin reveals the first day since august 1 without a tropical system active somewhere in the basin.
xtd 10 still has a surface trough associated with it near 21.5/67.5, moving wnw. convection is spotty.. the convective complex overnight broke down leaving a skeletal mlc back near 20/63. the surface feature is weak but still persisting... it aint over til it's completely over.
the impressive convection in the caribbean the other day isn't looking so sharp today. convection that was firing near an old mlc off the honduras/nicaragua border is scant, and the mlc has no apparent surface reflection in low cloud vectors. nothing there today.
stuff off the ga/sc coast is along a wind-shift line, nothing of consequence. globals still showing a system coming off africa this weekend, but getting less juiced over it.
very surprised that the basin is as quiet as it is, based on the pattern we had evolving early in august. there's a weak -enhancement factor, but the upper lows are persisting in the basin, is staying neutral/weak negative, and eastpac development continues though the atlantic is only responding weakly. the mid latitude weather pattern is transitioning towards an early fall one... tropics seem to be in limbo.
HF 1641z19august
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Lonny307
Unregistered
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Hey HW. Don't tell me what to post. I'm here cause I like Hurricanes. You got a problem with it e-mail me:Lonny307@aol.com 
lonny you ought to register so you can send stuff like this by PM. we don't tattoo a number on your arm or anything, just allows use of PM pretty much. -HF
Edited by HanKFranK (Fri Aug 19 2005 01:04 PM)
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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I put up another thread. The theme hasn't changed much, because not much is going on.
Future posts, head on over.
HF 1655z19august
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