Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The Atlantic is quiet
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 44 (Milton) , Major: 44 (Milton) Florida - Any: 44 (Milton) Major: 44 (Milton)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Weather Bloggers >> Resident Meteorologist Discussions
Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Pages: 1
Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Loc:
Quick Update
      #50572 - Sat Aug 27 2005 01:38 AM

This is only a quick update to last night's forecast. Given the continued westward motion and the apparent reluctance of the storm to slow down and feel the weakness in the ridge, the forecast landfall position must be shifted considerably further westward. Projected landfall is now within 75mi of either side of the MS/AL border -- HF's initial call -- Sunday night into Monday morning as a category 4 hurricane. The potential is there for the storm, as it passes over the loop current, to briefly reach strong category 4 intensity, though I expect some weakening before landfall. Even still, this is not comforting news to residents in the projected landfall area due to wind mpacts, to the east (Mobile Bay) due to surge, and to the west (New Orleans/Lake Ponchatrain) also due to surge.

The reasoning behind the previous forecast is sound beyond the first day or two; it is the motion during that time that appears to lead the storm further to the west than initially predicted. This comes as quite the surprise to most all forecasters, including the NHC, and proves how much we still don't know about tropical cyclones and their environments.


A full update will be provided, if necessary, tomorrow night or early Sunday morning.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1


Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Extra information
0 registered and 1 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 3142

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center