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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge
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gk
Verified CFHC User


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Posts: 16
Loc: Flagler Beach, FL
Hurricane Rita Tracking West Northwest in the Gulf
      #56765 - Thu Sep 22 2005 11:55 PM

I would agree, the latest Dvorak image seems to indicate that she is getting her act together and the increased volocity forcast may be correct. I would say Cat 5 at landfall, TX - LA border

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SMOKE
Weather Watcher


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Posts: 33
Loc: USA, Ga.
Re: Hurricane Rita Tracking West Northwest in the Gulf [Re: gk]
      #56800 - Fri Sep 23 2005 06:22 AM

Intensity will be the hardest to determine even 24hrs out .... eye wall replacement cycle, shear forecast for the southern half of the storm. There are a lot of factors that the NHC forecasters are having to look at.

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reasonmclucus
Verified CFHC User


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Posts: 17
Loc: Kansas
Re: Hurricane Rita Tracking West Northwest in the Gulf [Re: gk]
      #56960 - Fri Sep 23 2005 01:18 PM

The geography of the area will cause Rita to make landfall as a Category 3 considering her current angle. Wind moving across land is slower than over water. The air over land is also drier which will cause Rita to beginning pulling in drier air . When over water, the water droplets picked up from ocean "lubricate" the wind allowing it to move much faster.

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2005/07/050726074054.htm

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Almost only counts in horseshoes, hand grenades and hurricanes.


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