MissBecky
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 112
Loc: Ft. Myers, FL
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Quote:
Actually, it has moved from Marco Island (south of Naples) to Cape Coral (north of Naples). It was pretty much on Marco for a couple of days.
That is not true. Cape Coral is still north of the dotted line on the 's map. The forecast line now seems to be right at the Lee County/Collier County border.
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Thunderbird12
Meteorologist
Reged:
Posts: 644
Loc: Oklahoma
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URNT12 KNHC 212148
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 21/21:42:30Z
B. 20 deg 34 min N
086 deg 45 min W
C. 700 mb 2458 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 142 deg 115 kt
G. 46 deg 028 nm
H. EXTRAP 928 mb
I. 7 C/ 3044 m
J. 18 C/ 3040 m
K. 18 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C24
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF305 1524A OB 28
MAX FL WIND 119 KT N QUAD 20:01:50 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB
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Rdietch
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 89
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This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
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komi
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 43
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Hmm, is not movig too much in this moment:
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/RSOgeflt.html
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pincty
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 31
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On the morning Charlie hit, he thought it was Tampa's storm. Later that morning or early afternoon, he stated that Charlie had wobbled to the right and if this continued, it wouldn't be a wobble but instead a change in the direction of the storm. A few minutes earlier, a met from Bay News 9 noted the same thing. So I wouldn't say that he predicted that Charlie was not a Tampa storm. He merely made the call first about the change in direction.
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Torali
Registered User
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Posts: 1
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For those of you interested, some realtor in Cancun has been posting some pictures (as post attachments) here:
http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/2005/mexico.shtml
T
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 952
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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This post was sent to the Hurricane Graveyard
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Michael
PWS
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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thats absolutely amazing....serves the guy right holding onto the railing for being out there....lol
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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MissBecky
Weather Guru
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Posts: 112
Loc: Ft. Myers, FL
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Quote:
OK. Bonita Springs. 
Not that it really matters... At the 11 p.m. update the track will probably have shifted southward again, LOL. All this back-and-forth is driving me crazy! I think it will be another day before we really begin to have a firm idea of the actual landfall position.
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Steve H1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 310
Loc: Palm Bay FL USA
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Well the 18Z came out and shows landfall south of Tampa (again) but deeper than the 12Z. This is at hour 66, so it means the stall, if at all, will be short lived. Don't let your guard down on this one folks>
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Lance Wilson
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 23
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Quote:
Well the 18Z came out and shows landfall south of Tampa (again) but deeper than the 12Z. This is at hour 66, so it means the stall, if at all, will be short lived. Don't let your guard down on this one folks>
How far south? On another forum someone said around Ft Myers. (Not originally from Florida, so I don't know the coast very well.)
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Geoff
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 50
Loc: Tampa, FL
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I recall from reading previous posts that there is sometimes an elongation in the direction of travel as a hurricane is beginning to turn. As I've been watching the model runs such as over the past few days they seem to confirm that this elongation does occur when the show their turns (is that correct?)
Does it appear to anyone else that there is this type of elongation beginning to occur in the last portion of the IR loop? It also seems like there is a bit of a more northerly component in the last frames of the floaters. This may just be more stairstepping...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 952
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Too early to tell if it is a wobble or trend.
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Michael
PWS
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Big Red Machine
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 223
Loc: Polk City, FL
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New thread. 
http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/showflat.php?Cat=&Board=tb2005&Number=60889#Post60889
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
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Don't these recons just continue to blow you away?
Even now, as perfect an eye as you will ever see...11 deg temp diff! still holding her own even with the inevitable slippage in pressure and wind speed. Not really enough to make any difference to those in her path. I am not jaded and am still amazed at the low pressure she has managed to maintain. Truth is that was a cakewalk for .
Cozumel is just about to start getting battered with the strong SE eyewall, that will take about 5 hours to complete, and then they'll be "glad" to have only 100mph winds. They'll probably be able to start going outside around noon tomorrow. It will take that long to pass over them...about 36 hours in total.
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Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
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Multi-Decadal Signal
Weather Guru
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Posts: 149
Loc: BROWARD
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Quote:
New thread.
http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/showflat.php?Cat=&Board=tb2005&Number=60889#Post60889
i guess that this means...
NEW THREAD Has Been Started by MikeC
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Thunderbird12
Meteorologist
Reged:
Posts: 644
Loc: Oklahoma
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I'm suprised it has been able to maintain itself as long as it has, though the warming convection on IR suggests some slow weakening might be commencing. Whether or not the winds have actually come down at all today is questionable... flight-level winds suggest that they have, but the dropsondes suggest they have not. The multiple wind maxes are making it more difficult to assess the wind field.
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