Rasvar
Weather Master
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Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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Cooler weather will definately be a plus. Especially if there is no power. Worst thing after Charlley last year was the endless heat.  Even when the storm arrives, I am not sure precise landfall will end up being as important. Unliess somehow really tightens up, her windfield should be pretty spread out. Plenty of wind and rain extending out in a large swath from the center.
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Jim
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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Would you agree for everyone to be cognizant that the H force and TS force will be out in front of the actual COC, not sure how much out in front they will be though. I guess if the storm is moving 20-30 MPH that would tell you?
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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Heather
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 91
Loc: Sebring, FL
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Yes, I noticed the cooler weather too. Will gladly take a rougher cold front this time to get rid of the heat and humidity!
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When it rains, it pours...
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twizted sizter
Weather Guru
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Posts: 184
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I'll 2nd the woo-hooo for some cold air...it's muggy as heck here & I wish it would just hurry up & rain or something.
Not going to jump in about other than seems like the track is a s close to spot on as can be...remember...we/they are only human & we're dealing with forces outside of our control.
Made my preps...bases are covered for worst case/best case...the majority of the state is in for rough weather like you said.
On another note...historical at that...we now have Alpha...what a season!!!
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monkeymomma3
Registered User
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Posts: 3
Loc: Florida
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Hi, this is my first post-stumbled upon this site a few days ago and the information is great!!! I live in Broward and the flooding they are referring to is always prone to flooding-nothing new. Weather here has been cloudy, warm with the sun poking through. Havent had a huge downpour since about 11am or so. It is nice weather for shutter hanging and cleaning up. Wherever goes, I too am looking forward to the cool weather. At least if we lose power it will not be so bad. We lost power during for 2 days-nothing compared to other FL, MS and LA folks, however, it was HOT!!! So that is the silver lining in my cloud!!!
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trinibaje
Weather Guru
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Posts: 136
Loc: MIAMI, FLORIDA
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Quote:
Yes, I noticed the cooler weather too. Will gladly take a rougher cold front this time to get rid of the heat and humidity!
Heather... i noticed you are in Sebring Florida... is there any reports of closure for monday for the Courts?
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-----------MY 2005 PREDICTION--------
15/10/5
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Rasvar
Weather Master
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Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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VIPER has its plusses and minuses. I beleive it is a mesoscale type model, like . It seems to do ok compared other short range models. I do seem to recall that jeanne had it completely flummoxed last year. Always wanted to keep it going up the coast for the longest period of time.
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Jim
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Mayor of Moronia
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 16
Loc: Bayonet Point, Pasco County
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Just for the record did plenty of damage around Orlando in 2004. Plenty of trees were uprooted and many houses lost their roofs. My daughter lost her roof and had to replace all her carpeting. Lots of repairs.
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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anyone know if the 4pm advisory will be out before 4pm?....just wondering where i could find it before 4pm...thanks
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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Lance Wilson
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 23
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Quote:
anyone know if the 4pm advisory will be out before 4pm?....just wondering where i could find it before 4pm...thanks
That's 4 PM CDT, 5 PM EDT. Another hour until it comes out.
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EMS
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 56
Loc: St. Petersburg, Florida
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Disclaimer: This is not a wishcast!
So - the BAMD and BAMM now trek over Tampa. The question - does follow Bam-Bam?
Sorry - with all the sniping going on today, had to make a feeble, corny attempt at humor.
Back to the storm - having a really hard time locating the COC. It seems from the Cancun radar that the outer edge of the inner eyewall is now emerging off the NE tip of the Yucatan. The IR loop seems to show a more easterly jog in the last couple of frames.
Thanks to everyone for all their good info today and always.
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tpratch
Moderator
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Posts: 341
Loc: Maryland
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It'll be at or slightly before 5pm Eastern time. The 4pm timestamp is because it is in the Central timezone.
Updated graphic without any points. May add heading in an hour, but that depends on many things on my end.
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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
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1. MikeC has a new thread up
2. is reporting that Tropical Storm Alpha has formed - http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_hom...es&DISPLAY=
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Tazmanian93
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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This link should be helpful
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/marti/2005_TWENTY-FOUR/webManager/last24hrs.gif
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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disneyfanfl
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 24
Loc: Jacksonville, FL
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It seems like the models (well, most of them) have been gradually creeping up the peninsula last night and today, yet the offcial track is pretty much where it's been all along. Is this because the feels that the last few models aren't leaning the right way and they are thinking it's going to be well south of that? Or have they just not been sold on any northern landfall?
I'm wondering if the track begins at least a slight shift northward sometime soon?
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Geoff
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 50
Loc: Tampa, FL
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Does anyone have a good site that provides real time information on where the front really is? The only way I've been able to really track it is by the weather station buoy data, but there has got to be an easier way to see this data. I just don't think that the NWS graphic front line on the GOES loops is completely up to date. From looking once again at the buoy data versus their graphic, it appears that the front is farther north than their graphic shows.
I've looked at the WV loop and it gives me a feel for its location; but unlike the METS who can interpret that kind of stuff, I'm an architect so I need fancy graphics to look at
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Heather
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 91
Loc: Sebring, FL
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Quote:
Quote:
Yes, I noticed the cooler weather too. Will gladly take a rougher cold front this time to get rid of the heat and humidity!
Heather... i noticed you are in Sebring Florida... is there any reports of closure for monday for the Courts?
I would assume everything will be closed Monday, but can only confirm schools are closed.
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When it rains, it pours...
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komi
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 43
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My wife working in FLA Hospital in Sebring, and they have meeting tomorrow @ 3 PM ... Will report here whats goin on ...
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