dnmcdn1@aol.com
Unregistered
|
|
I have a question? We are planing a trip for florida in Oct. 2008, are we safe? Just wondering!!!
edited title --Clark
Edited by Clark (Wed May 28 2008 11:41 PM)
|
doug
Weather Analyst
Reged:
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
|
|
I debated if this was serious, but since it may be...statistically there are infinitely small probabilities that any danger would exist at any particular point in Florida on any given day in October 2008. How's that?
-------------------- doug
|
saluki
Weather Hobbyist
Reged:
Posts: 57
Loc: Fort Lauderdale, FL
|
|
Quote:
I have a question? We are planing a trip for florida in Oct. 2008, are we safe? Just wondering!!!
I wouldn't worry about it too much. Hurricanes do happen here during October (evidenced by in '05), but not all that often. And as the previous poster stated, the chances of one hitting in a particular place on a certain day are quite small. You might want to keep an eye on the tropical weather outlook in the days leading up to your trip just so you'll know if there's a possibility of anything imminent.
|
Clark
Meteorologist
Reged:
Posts: 1710
Loc:
|
|
Quote:
I have a question? We are planing a trip for florida in Oct. 2008, are we safe? Just wondering!!!
On any given day, based upon climatology, you have less than a 1-in-100 shot of being impacted by a tropical system anywhere in Florida in October.
That said, most storms that impact the state in October tend to come from the Gulf of Mexico rather than the Atlantic, often traveling to the north or northeast as they cross the state and interact with mid-latitude frontal systems and such. Still, I wouldn't be worried at all.
-------------------- Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)
|