Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge
Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Pages: 1
Jasonch
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 42
Loc: Texas
Long-Range Models
      #88689 - Thu Aug 05 2010 08:43 AM

i've been hearing that the long range models are picking up on 3 other named systems in the upcoming weeks. Is that true and what are the tentative dates and could they be big players in the gulf.

(Post moved to a more appropriate Forum. Note that at the bottom of the Main Page there are many links to model outputs that will let you check this out for yourself.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Thu Aug 05 2010 09:56 AM)

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 392
Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: Long-Range Models [Re: Jasonch]
      #88691 - Thu Aug 05 2010 11:13 AM

Always take long range models with a large spoon of salt. Out Past 5 days there is just too much uncertainty as has been the case with Colin for example. Several long range models back late last week had Colin as a decent hurricane just off the coast of Miami at 192 hours. As you can see that was WAY off. For me, they seem to be useful for long term trends, just don't put too much stock in them past 100 hours. That's my non-expert opinion anyways. The experts here may have a different view....

--------------------
If you don't like the weather, wait 5 minutes...
2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: Long-Range Models [Re: Lamar-Plant City]
      #88719 - Fri Aug 06 2010 12:16 PM

It's 120 hours; after that it's a crap shoot; however, in regards to synoptic features; it's pretty good out to about 240 hours. The folks who program these models and what is inputted into them is astounding.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1


Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Extra information
0 registered and 9 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 4309

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center