Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Invest 05L - the remnant of TD5 - is located in extreme southwest Georgia near 31N 84.8W at 15/18Z. The system has been moving south at 10mph for the past 18 hours and it should re-enter the Gulf near Port St. Joe, Florida, around midnight EDT tonight (plus or minus an hour or two). Chances for redevelopment into a Tropical Depression are on the increase although the time over water could be confined to a rather narrow window as the system moves west along or near 30N latitude. A little further south of 30N and the system could have a chance to become a minimal Tropical Storm, however, if the track is a little further north it would be unlikely for the system to reach TS intensity. Regardless of a TD or TS status, once over water and with the expected slow movement to the west, considerable rainfall could develop from the Florida panhandle to Louisiana, and perhaps even far eastern Texas.
ED
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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|
At 16/12Z the center of Ex-TD5 was located souh of Panama City Beach near 29.6N 86.1W and it was drifting to the west. The system did not blossom when it re-entered the Gulf last night and it remains disorganized with most of the convection displaced to the southwest of the center. Some additional development is possible as the system moves slowly westward. The potential for heavy rain/flooding exists for the northeast Gulf coast.
ED
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 952
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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It appears that there is some significant NE to SW shear over it. Whatever happens (I don't think it will be very strong), it will be a rain maker for an area that is already saturated. Flooding is going to be the major result of this system.
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Michael
PWS
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