MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged:
Posts: 952
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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The Western GOM, post Karl, grabs my attention this AM. Development there, or will it move over land before anything significant happens?
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Michael
PWS
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Jasonch
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 42
Loc: Texas
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I see the big blow up of storms you are talking about. With the high pressure to the north I'm sure it will just move inland. It will be nothing
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 952
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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It's apparently moving to the NNW toward mouth of the the Rio Grande. Surface wind obs indicate some broad cyclonic turning.
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Michael
PWS
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WesnWylie
Weather Guru
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Posts: 155
Loc:
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I think the will highlight this area in the upcoming 1:00 p.m. CDT outlook. The upper-level winds should steer this disturbance toward the northwest rather than west, so if it were to organize which is still uncertain it would affect parts of Texas.
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2011 Season Forecast: 16/09/04
2011 Systems: 10/01/01
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berrywr
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
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It is an inverted trough AKA easterly wave. The axis is onshore; however all the action with easterly waves are generally behind the axis. It is reflected aloft up to 500 mbs but no higher; a ridge dominates the entire area at 300 mbs which is centered at that level about 150 miles SE of Brownsville with a small shortwave moving west to east currently over central Texas moving east. As you see on satellite there is excellent divergence aloft and one might think there's something down there with outflow aloft.
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Sincerely,
Bill Berry
"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"
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