There is increasing speculation that something will spin up in the GOM this week. The Eastern GOM has been enduring welcome light rain as the trough left behind last week dissipates. Today however the picture is getting a little more complex a there is a new blow up of convection at about 85W. Also, do my eyes see a new vortex forming at 25N and 87W? Such occurences at the tail end of dying troughs over warm waters is not un heard of. Worth watching, IMO
Yes, this one I think is more likely to impact land than Katia, and depending on how it progresses may pop up relatively quickly. It's not an invest right now.