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Chances for development of this system are up to 50%, and Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings could be issued as early as tomorrow for portions of the NW Gulf.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 614 (Milton), US Major: 614 (Milton), FL Any: 614 (Milton), FL Major: 614 (Milton)
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Archives 2010s >> 2013 Forecast Lounge
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Late Season STS Melissa Forecast Lounge
      #94930 - Sun Nov 17 2013 07:24 PM

Some of the models bring this system to hurricane intensity toward the end of the upcoming week. Since the system is currently non-tropical that would be a rapid transition. Invest 98L has an excellent chance of becoming a hybrid subtropical storm in a couple of days. This is the place for your thoughts on the long-term organization and intensification (if any) of this system.
ED

(Title updated to reflect current storm status.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Nov 18 2013 10:45 AM)

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 956
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Late Season STS Melissa Forecast Lounge [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94931 - Mon Nov 18 2013 10:41 AM

Named sub-tropical storm Melissa this morning. It certainly looks sub-tropical on the sat images, and a bit like a mid-latitude storm with the comma shape and dry air wrapping in.

(Titled updated to reflect current storm status.)

Edited by MichaelA (Mon Nov 18 2013 12:34 PM)

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