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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 607 (Milton), US Major: 607 (Milton), FL Any: 607 (Milton), FL Major: 607 (Milton)
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MikeCAdministrator
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Re: Tropical Storm Barry forms in Gulf of Mexico [Re: MikeC]
      #99963 - Fri Jul 12 2019 09:19 PM

There is lightning starting to happen along the southern side of the center, which could be a sign its trying to push for strength at the moment. It is a very lop-sided storm, but what's there is pretty strong.

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EMS
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Re: Tropical Storm Barry forms in Gulf of Mexico [Re: MikeC]
      #99964 - Fri Jul 12 2019 09:23 PM

Center no longer discernible on visible satellite. Wondering if it’s trying to get underneath convection blowing up to south of where center previously appeared.

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MikeCAdministrator
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Re: Tropical Storm Barry forms in Gulf of Mexico [Re: EMS]
      #99965 - Fri Jul 12 2019 09:41 PM

Possibly, although it's harder to determine at night. The other sign is the shoot up of convection starting on the northeastern flank. It's going for another intensification run tonight.

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Prospero
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Re: Tropical Storm Barry forms in Gulf of Mexico [Re: EMS]
      #99966 - Fri Jul 12 2019 09:47 PM

Maybe an eye starting?



13 Jul 19 01:36:33 UTZ

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MikeCAdministrator
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Re: Tropical Storm Barry forms in Gulf of Mexico [Re: Prospero]
      #99967 - Fri Jul 12 2019 10:21 PM

I'm not so sure that's it, since there's a lot of competition there, but that's where I'll be looking for a while anyway.

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cieldumort
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Re: Tropical Storm Barry forms in Gulf of Mexico [Re: Prospero]
      #99968 - Fri Jul 12 2019 10:31 PM

Quote:

Maybe an eye starting?




Possible, but I think not likely. More possibly a sucker hole. The last vortex message to be sent out was at a location well north of there. This has more the look of a localized region of subsidence in between some hot towers.

If it turns out to be the mid-level center developing an eye-like feature, it could have significant implications for the forecast, given how far south it is from the tracked center.


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Prospero
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Re: Tropical Storm Barry forms in Gulf of Mexico [Re: cieldumort]
      #99969 - Sat Jul 13 2019 09:02 AM

It's a hurricane now:

ACTF Hurricane Barry

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