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NHC has issued an Outlook on the disturbance in N Gulf we are tracking. Low odds of a name, but some hvy rain/wind/tstorms either way.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 250 (Nicholas) , Major: 266 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1320 (Michael) Major: 1320 (Michael)

Archives 2020s >> 2020 Forecast Lounge

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Reged: Mon
Posts: 2114
Loc: Austin, Tx
Hurricane Iota Lounge
      #101472 - Tue Nov 10 2020 11:27 AM

Above: 98L 11-10-20 1427z ASCAT over IR

A tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean that has been long-advertised by nearly all the models has been Invest tagged, 98L, and we are now opening up a Forecast Lounge on this feature.

98L became TD 31 and later in the day Tropical Storm Iota on Friday November 13th.

Edited by cieldumort (Mon Nov 16 2020 09:16 PM)

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Reged: Mon
Posts: 2114
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 98L Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #101506 - Fri Nov 13 2020 04:49 PM

Friday November 13, 2020 Invest 98L became a Tropical Cyclone, the incredible 31st of the hyperactive 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season. At the 4PM EST update, THIRTY-ONE was upgraded to Tropical Storm Iota, the record-setting 30th Named Storm of the year, and the title has been updated accordingly.

Tropical Storm Iota appears to have a 6-in-10 chance of Rapid Intensification over the next few days, and is now explicitly forecast to become a Major Hurricane in the western Caribbean. It is worth noting that several model runs support the potential to become a high-end Major.

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Posts: 10
Loc: Costa Rica
Re: 98L Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #101507 - Fri Nov 13 2020 09:47 PM

After having lived in Costa Rica for many years, these storms that develop like TS Iota is now and as hurricane Eta did cause a great deal of mud slides and flooding with great hardships and deaths. I hope this one is not like Eta or the others. This has been true even as far south as Drake Bay on the South Pacific side of Costa Rica where we have a home. We need to watch this one real close.

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