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News Talkback >> 2003 Storm Forum

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Three Areas of Interest
      #10287 - Thu Aug 28 2003 10:32 PM

Systems have developed in the Atlantic and the eastern Pacific today and another appears to be well on its way.

TD 10 (aka Holy Moly) is now Tropical Storm Fabian in the central Atlantic and is moving to the west northwest. Long range models take the system, as a hurricane, north of the islands, which at the moment seems reasonable. Long range guidance maintains a ridge north of the storm which could be a concern for the Bahamas and the southeast U.S. toward the end of next week, but way too early to make that call now. Except for one model (the A98) the projections are closely clustered toward the west northwest and with generally favorable conditions, eventual strengthening to 'major' status is certainly within the realm of possibility.

Developing system south of western Cuba continues to show good organization. No circulation center yet evident, but no doubt that will change in a day or so. Initial movement of the wave appears to be westward but evolution to a west northwest and eventually a northwest direction seems likely. Residents along the Gulf coast, especially the northwest Gulf, should monitor this developing system closely over the weekend.

Tropical Storm Jimena formed today in the eastern Pacific and is expected to eventually reach hurricane intensity while moving to the west northwest. Although the EASTPAC is not normally a focal point on this site, Jimena could pose a serious threat to the Hawaiian Islands late on Labor Day. If the track is adjusted a little north, the islands could be in trouble, so I'll open up the Storm Forum for discussions on Jimena.

Looks like the 'busy' time is about to begin.
Cheers,
ED


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