doug
Weather Analyst
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
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First early forecast from Col. State: 17-9-4
another busy year...
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doug
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MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4441
Loc: Orlando, FL
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16-7-2
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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sat
Posts: 327
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
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19-8-4
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Kraig
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Sun
Posts: 57
Loc: Jupiter, Fl
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18-10-5
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2022 forecast 21/11/4; 0/0/0 as of 6/1
South FL Native: David ('79), Floyd ('87), Andrew ('92), Georges ('98), Irene ('99), Charlie, Frances & Jeanne ('04), Wilma ('05), Matthew ('16), Irma ('17), Dorian ('19) and Isaias (20)
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged: Thu
Posts: 915
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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15 - 8 - 3 (same as last year  )
Edited by MichaelA (Thu May 20 2021 03:31 PM)
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JoshuaK
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 158
Loc: Lakeland, FL
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18-12-6
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EMS
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Tue
Posts: 54
Loc: St. Petersburg, Florida
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20-11-6
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vpbob21
Weather Guru
Reged: Fri
Posts: 115
Loc: Ohio
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23-11-5
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jtrnr1951
Registered User
Reged: Mon
Posts: 8
Loc: Ocala National Forest
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20-10-5
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gsand
Weather Watcher
Reged: Fri
Posts: 31
Loc: Palm Bay, FL 28.00N 80.38W
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15-6-3
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------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hazel 1954 Camille 1969 Agnes 1972 Bob 1991 Erin 1995 Charley 2004 Frances 2004 Jeanne 2004 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017
2021 Forecast- 15/6/3
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cieldumort
Moderator
Reged: Mon
Posts: 2135
Loc: Austin, Tx
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Still using my old formula with some tweaks and allowances for other considerations.
Names: 15 (Likely range 13-17)
Hurricanes: 8 (Likely range 7-9)
Majors: 4 (Likely range 3-5)
Forecast bias/risk: Forecast Risk is to the upside (More names may easily occur than my system is calling for, but not necessarily more hurricanes).
Above average potential for a late-ending season.
Landfall considerations:
*Trend of slower and/or wetter systems more likely to be seen this year than not.
*Above average risk of US landfalls with potential for much above average US landfalls
Final season forecast for 2021 Flhurricane Contest:
Names: 15, Hurricanes: 8, Majors: 4
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Fully vaccinated as of May 2021
(Moderna x2)
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Prospero
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 261
Loc: Gulfport, FL
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I know I am late and posted this on another forum a while back. I'm already thinking I was underestimating the early part of the season for named storms, but I'll stick with it just for fun. Not like I'll lose any money on a bet. LOL
Quote:
14/11/7
Probably way low on named storms, but seven majors. Teresa might be one to be historic...
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Gulfport, Florida USA - Personal Weather Station:
KFLGULFP5
Watch the best Clearwater Beach Cams:
Clearwater Beach Cams
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IsoFlame
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 198
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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Late to the party... 17-8-2
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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
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