Current Radar or Satellite Image - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

Invest 97L has dropped to 30% chance of development over the next 5 days. Watching as it rapidly moves west over the Atlantic.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 330 (Nicholas) , Major: 346 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1400 (Michael) Major: 1400 (Michael)

General Discussion >> 2022 Forecast Lounge

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1

Reged: Mon
Posts: 2133
Loc: Austin, Tx
Colin Forecast Lounge
      #114133 - Sat Jul 02 2022 12:00 AM

A well-defined area of non-tropical low pressure began taking on more tropical characteristics despite moderate westerly shear on the morning of July 1st, and one could make the case that it was a T.D. by about noon Friday July 1 using a more flexible definition.

After drifting just inland near/over Charleston, S.C. the low has continued to slowly show signs of increasing organization.

96L is now being tugged offshore and drawn into a blossoming area of deep convection with very cold cloud tops, and it looks increasingly likely that a Tropical Storm may be forming, so we are starting a lounge on this well-formed cyclone at this time.

At 5AM ET July 2, NHC upgraded 96L directly to Tropical Storm Colin, and the title has been updated accordingly.

Edited by cieldumort (Sat Jul 02 2022 06:05 AM)

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  

Reged: Mon
Posts: 2133
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #114134 - Sat Jul 02 2022 05:58 AM

Invest 96L, likely already a tropical cyclone for over the past 12-18 hours, has just seen an upgrade by NHC directly to Colin.

Models are not going to be particularly useful at this time, as they have mostly all missed forecasting this, say nothing of even seeing it.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1

Extra information
0 registered and 4 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  cieldumort 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Topic views: 1070

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center